$4.1K
MAY 26, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Fresh AP reporting on May 18 says the Georgia Republican Senate field is still scrambling one day before the primary, with Mike Collins, Derek Dooley, and Buddy Carter all still in contention. That keeps the race trader-relevant because the market has Dooley and Collins clustered near the top, so any late consolidation or runoff outcome could matter.
With the May 19 primary one day away, new reporting says Brian Kemp is still heavily invested in Derek Dooley while the field remains unsettled, keeping the Georgia GOP Senate contest trader-relevant as a likely runoff race. The market already reflects a tight Dooley-Collins fight, but the renewed coverage underscores that the nominee is still not locked in.
Dooley is at 44% and leads by 3.0 points in the Georgia Republican Senate primary: 2nd place (1st round).
Recent polls show Mike Collins leading the Georgia Republican Senate primary, while Derek Dooley has gained ground. A large share of voters are still undecided, and a June 16 runoff remains possible if no one wins outright. The race is still centered on Collins, Buddy Carter, and Dooley. Collins appears to have the clearest edge, but Dooley’s gains and the large undecided bloc keep second place uncertain. The runoff risk adds more volatility to the market.
On Tuesday, Georgia Republicans will choose who they want to face Jon Ossoff in this year's U.S. Senate election. Who is running? Who is likely to win?
Mike Collins, Buddy Carter and Derek Dooley are competing for the Republican nomination to face Sen. Jon Ossoff in the midterm election.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Newt Gingrich
Newt Gingrich endorsed Buddy Carter after Carter entered the 2026 Georgia Senate race.
Jason Anavitarte
Jason Anavitarte endorsed Buddy Carter in the Georgia Republican Senate primary.
Matthew Gambill
Matthew Gambill endorsed Buddy Carter in the Georgia Republican Senate primary.
D. DooleyDerek DooleySource: FEC
