Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
44.1%
18.9%
15.4%
12.9%
11.0%
8.2%
5.3%
2026 Alaska Elections & races
Track Alaska election odds, candidates, polls, key dates, market volume and race movement across the 2026 races on Prediction Edge.
Overview
Alaska's 2026 ballot is led by an open race for governor: incumbent Republican Mike Dunleavy is term-limited, and seventeen candidates filed to succeed him. Voters will also decide a U.S. Senate race in which Republican Dan Sullivan seeks a third term, the state's at-large U.S. House seat held by Nick Begich III, half of the state Senate, and a ballot measure that would repeal the top-four and ranked-choice system itself. The August 18 top-four primary sends four candidates per race to a ranked-choice general election on November 3. This hub connects live market odds with candidate pages, polling context, official dates and market-moving updates.
2026 Alaska Election Snapshot
Primary Election
Aug 18, 2026
General Election
Nov 3, 2026
Primary System
Top-four ranked-choice primary
Major Offices
Governor, US Senate, US House, State Senate
Partisan Lean
Lean Republican
Not a core swing state
Prediction Edge Coverage
Odds, polls, candidates, market volume, race pages and alerts
Key Alaska Races to Watch in 2026
Alaska Governor Races 2026
Alaska's governorship is open in 2026: incumbent Republican Mike Dunleavy is term-limited, and seventeen candidates filed ahead of the August 18 top-four primary. Markets here track both the winning candidate and the winning party.
Alaska Governor winner? (Person)
$140.8KNov 7, 2026
Alaska Governor winner? (Party)
$47.3KNov 7, 2026
Alaska US Senate Races 2026
Republican Dan Sullivan is seeking a third term in 2026, with former Rep. Mary Peltola among the challengers in the top-four primary field. One tracked market looks ahead to the separate 2028 race for Lisa Murkowski's seat.
Alaska Senate winner? (Party)
$376.7KNov 7, 2026
Alaska Senate winner? (Person)
$103.2KNov 7, 2026
Alaska US House Races 2026
Republican Nick Begich III is defending Alaska's at-large House seat in 2026 after unseating Mary Peltola in 2024. A wide field has filed, and the general election will be decided by ranked-choice voting.
Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)
$9.9KNov 7, 2026
Alaska State Senate Races 2026
Ten of the Alaska State Senate's 20 seats are on the 2026 ballot. A bipartisan coalition has run the chamber since 2022, and retirements, including Senate President Gary Stevens, leave the next majority alignment undecided.
2026 Alaska Elections Calendar
- Alaska 2026 primary
- Alaska 2026 general election
Alaska Polls, Odds Movement & Market Signals
See all2026 Alaska Elections FAQ
When is the 2026 Alaska primary election?
The 2026 Alaska primary election is on Aug 18, 2026.
When is the 2026 Alaska general election?
The 2026 Alaska general election is on Nov 3, 2026.
What races are on the ballot in Alaska in 2026?
Alaska's November 3, 2026 ballot includes an open race for governor and lieutenant governor, a U.S. Senate race for the seat held by Dan Sullivan, the state's at-large U.S. House seat, ten of twenty state Senate seats, all forty state House seats, judicial retention votes, and ballot measures, including an initiative to repeal the top-four primary and ranked-choice voting system.
How does Alaska's primary work?
Alaska uses a single open primary: every voter receives the same ballot and picks one candidate per race, regardless of party. The top four vote-getters in each race advance to the general election, which is decided by ranked-choice voting; there is no runoff. The 2026 primary is scheduled for August 18, and a November initiative will ask voters whether to repeal this system for future elections.
Why is the 2026 Alaska Governor race important?
Alaska elects a new governor in 2026 because incumbent Republican Mike Dunleavy is term-limited after two terms, leaving the seat open for the first time since 2018. The race drew one of the largest candidate fields in recent state history, with seventeen filings ahead of the August 18 top-four primary, making it the headline statewide contest on Alaska's November ballot.
Where can I follow Alaska election odds?
Follow live Alaska election odds, candidate standings, polls and market-moving updates on this Prediction Edge Alaska hub.
2026 Statewide Elections and Races
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