

Track Arizona election odds, candidates, polls, key dates, market volume and race movement across the 2026 races on Prediction Edge.
Arizona's 2026 ballot is headlined by the governor's race, where Democrat Katie Hobbs seeks a second term and, for the first time under 2022's Proposition 131, nominees will run on a joint ticket with a lieutenant governor candidate. Voters also decide attorney general and other statewide offices, all nine US House seats, and the full state legislature; there is no US Senate race until 2028. Party primaries, open to independents who pick one party's ballot, fall on July 21, 2026, moved up two weeks under a law signed this year. This hub connects live market odds with candidate pages, polling context, official dates, and market-moving updates from Prediction Edge.
Democrat Katie Hobbs seeks a second term in a race Republicans are contesting through a July 21 primary that includes sitting US House members Andy Biggs and David Schweikert. For the first time, nominees run on a joint ticket with a lieutenant governor candidate.
All nine Arizona US House seats are up in 2026. Tracked markets cover the July 21 primaries in AZ-05, an open seat with Andy Biggs running for governor instead, and AZ-04, where Democrat Greg Stanton faces a primary challenge and Republicans contest the nomination.
Incumbent Democrat Kris Mayes is unopposed in her primary and seeking a second term. Republicans Rodney Glassman and state Senate President Warren Petersen are competing in the July 21 primary for the right to face her in November.
Live odds, candidates and market movement for Arizona Secretary of State races in 2026.
Explore candidate pages for Arizona's major 2026 races — odds, polling, fundraising, endorsements and news.














| Date (Start - End) | Spread | Hobbs | Biggs |
|---|---|---|---|
Polling Average | Hobbs+6.6 | 45.6% | 39.0% |
Stealth AnalyticsAug 11 - 13 | Hobbs+5.0 | 43.0% | 38.0% |
Tarrance GroupJul 27 - 30 | Hobbs+4.0 | 52.0% | 48.0% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact ResearchJul 26 - 28 | Hobbs+8.0 | 52.0% | 44.0% |
Noble Predictive InsightsMay 5 - 7 | Hobbs+4.0 | 41.0% | 37.0% |
TIPP InsightsApr 20 - 24 | Hobbs+10.0 | 48.0% | 38.0% |
TIPP InsightsApr 20 - 24 | Hobbs+10.0 | 45.0% | 35.0% |
Noble Predictive InsightsFeb 23 - 26 | Hobbs+5.0 | 42.0% | 37.0% |
Center for Excellence in PollingJan 22 - 24 | Hobbs+9.0 | 50.0% | 41.0% |
NextGen PollingDec 15 - 17 | Hobbs+19.0 | 51.0% | 32.0% |
Emerson CollegeNov 8 - 10 | Hobbs+0.7 | 44.1% | 43.4% |
Noble Predictive InsightsAug 11 - 18 | Hobbs+2.0 | 39.0% | 37.0% |
Noble Predictive InsightsMay 12 - 16 | Hobbs+2.0 | 40.0% | 38.0% |