Prediction Edge

2026 Arizona Elections & races

Track Arizona election odds, candidates, polls, key dates, market volume and race movement across the 2026 races on Prediction Edge.

Overview

Arizona's 2026 ballot is headlined by the governor's race, where Democrat Katie Hobbs seeks a second term and, for the first time under 2022's Proposition 131, nominees will run on a joint ticket with a lieutenant governor candidate. Voters also decide attorney general and other statewide offices, all nine US House seats, and the full state legislature; there is no US Senate race until 2028. Party primaries, open to independents who pick one party's ballot, fall on July 21, 2026, moved up two weeks under a law signed this year. This hub connects live market odds with candidate pages, polling context, official dates, and market-moving updates from Prediction Edge.

2026 Arizona Election Snapshot

Primary Election
Jul 21, 2026
General Election
Nov 3, 2026
Main Statewide Race
Incumbent: Katie Hobbs
Primary System
Semi-open primary
Major Offices
Governor, US House, Attorney General, Secretary of State
Partisan Lean
Competitive
Core swing state
Prediction Edge Coverage
Odds, polls, candidates, market volume, race pages and alerts

Key Arizona Races to Watch in 2026

Arizona Governor Races 2026

Democrat Katie Hobbs seeks a second term in a race Republicans are contesting through a July 21 primary that includes sitting US House members Andy Biggs and David Schweikert. For the first time, nominees run on a joint ticket with a lieutenant governor candidate.

Arizona Republican Governor nominee?
$80.9KJul 22, 2026
See all Governor races

Arizona US House Races 2026

All nine Arizona US House seats are up in 2026. Tracked markets cover the July 21 primaries in AZ-05, an open seat with Andy Biggs running for governor instead, and AZ-04, where Democrat Greg Stanton faces a primary challenge and Republicans contest the nomination.

AZ-05 Republican nominee?
$80.0KJul 22, 2026
AZ-04 Democratic nominee?
$41.2KJul 22, 2026
AZ-01 Republican nominee?
$37.6KJul 22, 2026
See all US House races

Arizona Attorney General Races 2026

Incumbent Democrat Kris Mayes is unopposed in her primary and seeking a second term. Republicans Rodney Glassman and state Senate President Warren Petersen are competing in the July 21 primary for the right to face her in November.

Arizona Republican Attorney General nominee?
$19.7KJul 22, 2026
Arizona Attorney General winner?
$6.4KNov 7, 2026
See all Attorney General races

Arizona Secretary of State Races 2026

Live odds, candidates and market movement for Arizona Secretary of State races in 2026.

Arizona Secretary of State winner?
$1.7KNov 7, 2026
See all Secretary of State races

2026 Arizona Elections Calendar

  1. Arizona 2026 primary
  2. Arizona 2026 general election
See full calendar

Arizona Candidates Running in 2026

Explore candidate pages for Arizona's major 2026 races — odds, polling, fundraising, endorsements and news.

See all candidates

Arizona Polls, Odds Movement & Market Signals

See all
Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
46.5%
37.3%
36.7%
36%
K. Hobbs
K. Robson
A. Biggs
D. Schweikert
Date (Start - End)SpreadHobbsRobsonBiggsSchweikert
Polling Average
Hobbs+9.2
46.5%37.3%36.7%36.0%
Noble Predictive InsightsMay 5 - 7
Hobbs+7.0
42.0%––35.0%
Noble Predictive InsightsMay 5 - 7
Hobbs+4.0
41.0%–37.0%–
TIPP InsightsApr 20 - 24
Hobbs+10.0
48.0%–38.0%–
TIPP InsightsApr 20 - 24
Hobbs+10.0
45.0%–35.0%–
Noble Predictive InsightsFeb 23 - 26
Hobbs+9.0
44.0%––35.0%
Noble Predictive InsightsFeb 23 - 26
Hobbs+5.0
42.0%–37.0%–
Center for Excellence in PollingJan 22 - 24
Hobbs+10.0
50.0%40.0%––
Center for Excellence in PollingJan 22 - 24
Hobbs+13.0
51.0%––38.0%
Center for Excellence in PollingJan 22 - 24
Hobbs+9.0
50.0%–41.0%–
NextGen PollingDec 15 - 17
Hobbs+21.0
51.0%30.0%––
NextGen PollingDec 15 - 17
Hobbs+19.0
51.0%–32.0%–
Emerson CollegeNov 8 - 10
Hobbs+1.3
43.3%42.0%––

2026 Arizona Elections FAQ

When is the 2026 Arizona primary election?
The 2026 Arizona primary election is on Jul 21, 2026.
When is the 2026 Arizona general election?
The 2026 Arizona general election is on Nov 3, 2026.
What races are on the ballot in Arizona in 2026?
Arizona's November 3, 2026 ballot includes governor, elected with a lieutenant governor on one ticket for the first time, plus attorney general, secretary of state, state treasurer, superintendent of public instruction, and mine inspector, along with all nine US House seats and the full state legislature. There is no US Senate race; Arizona's next Senate election is in 2028. Ballot measures are also expected.
How does Arizona's primary work?
Arizona holds party primaries on July 21, 2026, a date moved up two weeks by a law signed earlier this year. Voters registered with a party receive that party's ballot, while independents and unaffiliated voters may choose one party's primary ballot. The highest vote-getter in each primary advances; there is no runoff.
Why is the 2026 Arizona Governor race important?
Arizona is a closely divided swing state, and the governorship is its highest-profile 2026 contest. Democrat Katie Hobbs is seeking a second term, two sitting Republican congressmen are competing to face her, and for the first time the winner will be elected on a joint ticket with a lieutenant governor under Proposition 131. The outcome also shapes whether either party gains unified control of state government.
Where can I follow Arizona election odds?
Follow live Arizona election odds, candidate standings, polls and market-moving updates on this Prediction Edge Arizona hub.

2026 Statewide Elections and Races