$18.5K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 25, 2026, 8:28 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds |
|---|---|
| 98% | |
| 3% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Josh Green won the Hawaii Democratic primary, giving him a stronger path into the general election. The race still remains open, but the summary says he is widely favored for reelection. Hawaii’s recent history also points to Democrats. The primary result likely reinforces Democratic odds and keeps the market tilted toward the Democratic Party. It does not resolve the general election, but it reduces near-term uncertainty.
Republican businessman and commentator Steve Hilton emerged as the frontrunner in California's closely watched gubernatorial primary.
California voters are deciding who will advance in the race to replace Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom. About 60 candidates are on Tuesday's ballot. They include Democrats Xavier Becerra, a former state...
The end of the voting period, which began in early May, concludes a chaotic contest without a clear front-runner.
More than 200,000 voters cast ballots in the Democratic Senate primary, up from 162,000 in the party's 2020 primary.
The billionaire former presidential candidate spent more than any primary candidate in the country — and the AP still hasn't called it.
California voters are deciding who will advance in the race to replace Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom. About 60 candidates are on Tuesday's ballot.
Get live updates and the latest news as Trump arrives in China for his summit with Xi Jinping and the Nebraska 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary remains too close to call.
Xavier Becerra claims that the “Power Hour” could reduce a family’s electric bill by about $1,000 per year.
Hawaii Gov. Josh Green won the Democratic primary against three little-known challengers, entering the race with a 56% approval rating and $3.5 million in fundraising.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
