$13.9M
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 15, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and polling averages. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average |
|---|---|---|
| 96% | 52.2% | |
| 4% | 35.7% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Becerra remains the front-runner in recent polling and coverage as the race heads toward a Sept. 30 debate. Hilton is trying to close the gap with attacks on campaign money and new policy proposals. The June primary results still show Becerra ahead of Hilton. The latest coverage mostly reinforces Becerra’s lead and keeps Hilton in catch-up mode. The debate could shift sentiment, but the current news leans slightly toward Becerra.
While fly fishing in Montana, CNN’s Jake Tapper asks Governor Gavin Newsom what it would take for him to run for president in 2028. This is part of on an o
"You’ve got to honor the vote,” Hilton says, acknowledging that California's current U.S. senators, both Democrats, were elected.
Steve Hilton is rolling out a sweeping California anti-corruption plan targeting special-interest cash and outside spending supporting rival Xavier Becerra.
With Gavin Newsom is on his way out, advocates are hoping the former Biden Health secretary can rebuild California’s safety net despite fiscal pressures.
Democrat Xavier Becerra and Republican Steve Hilton will face off in a CNN debate days before California voters receive their mail-in ballots.
Republican candidate Steve Hilton is vowing to abolish California’s DMV and cap annual vehicle registration at $73, reviving memories of Arnold Schwarzenegger's fee reduction.
President Donald Trump says he slipped away from Air Force One after a trip last month in Turkey because the Secret Service and military wanted him on a “different plane” due to a threat he insisted didn’t scare him.
And a new study suggests California should look to Orange County for tips to speed up the vote counting process.
A UC Berkeley poll found 52% of the electorate is in favor of Xavier Becerra, while 31% of voters support Steve Hilton.
Republican Steve Hilton secured his spot in California’s gubernatorial showdown against Democrat Xavier Becerra, launching a personal campaign video.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between May 19, 2026 and Aug 16, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
N. ShanahanNicole Shanahan
E. SwalwellEric Swalwell
A. PadillaAlex Padilla
E. AgarwalEthan AgarwalK. PorterKatie PorterX. BecerraXavier BecerraSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
