$616.8K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 3, 2026, 8:28 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and polling averages. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average |
|---|---|---|
| 96% | 54.0% | |
| 5% | 31.0% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Michael Minogue has secured the Massachusetts Republican nomination and will challenge Gov. Maura Healey in the general election. Healey is running for reelection, while Republicans are trying to link her to Trump and Minogue is emphasizing affordability. The article also points to polling and fundraising as key factors heading into Nov. 3. The GOP nomination is now settled, which reduces uncertainty on that side. The race still appears to favor Healey, but the cited polling and fundraising suggest traders may watch for any tightening.
Sen. Ed Markey routed Rep. Seth Moulton in the Massachusetts Democratic primary, rejecting Moulton's generational argument in the marquee Senate showdown.
Progressive Democrat Analilia Mejia is headed to Washington.
Alternative to Lamont is a state representative urged by progressives to challenge one of most powerful people in state government
Unlike four years ago, Democratic voters this election year have increasingly shown a willingness to oust incumbents.
The general election began almost as soon as the primary ended. Now the race is on to define Mike Minogue before he can define himself.
Sept. 1 (UPI) -- Voters in Massachusetts are heading to the polls Tuesday to vote in the 2026 primary elections, deciding between Democrats Sen. Ed Markey
A House candidate in South Florida has a Democratic Socialists of America endorsement, while others are trying to win with progressive, outsider messaging.
The narrower than expected victory by the far left Democratic Senate candidate in Michigan, Abdul El-Sayed, could backfire on the party in November. El-Sayed barely staved off the establishment Democrat by less than one percentage point — just 15,000 votes — despite polls which showed him leading by double digits.
Minnesota Democrats will decide a competitive U.S. Senate primary Tuesday in another face-off between moderate and progressive candidates that could define the party’s identity heading into the...
Conley secured the Democratic nomination to face off against Lawler in one of the most competitive races of the 2026 midterms.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Oct 21, 2025 and Sep 22, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
