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Which Party wins the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Election?

Nov 7, 2026, 4:59am UTC, in 113 daysLast updated: Jul 17, 2026, 1:23 PM UTC

New Hampshire Governor winner?

$11.9K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

R. Party

83.0%

D. Party

17.0%

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$11.9K

24h volume

R. Party83%

D. Party17%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

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News

AINews Summary

Cinde Warmington has filed to run for New Hampshire governor, setting up a likely rematch with Kelly Ayotte in the nomination contests. The latest updates are about candidate filing, with no new polling or major endorsements reported. The race remains open, but the provided news does not point to a clear change in the party outlook. Warmington’s entry makes the race more defined, but the provided news does not show a clear shift in the party-of-winner outlook. The market likely remains driven by the underlying Ayotte-Warmington matchup and still has meaningful uncertainty.

Articles

NYNew York Magazine2 days ago

As Maine Goes, So Goes the Senate? Not Necessarily.

Even if the Platner campaign’s implosion saves Susan Collins, Democrats have enough opportunities elsewhere to flip the Senate.

NYNew York Magazine5 days ago

Lindsey Graham’s Death Leaves Two Power Vacuums

Neither the Senate GOP nor his home state of South Carolina will have a simple time trying to replace him, writes columnist Ed Kilgore.

TBThe Boston Globe1 day ago

Susan Collins sees her sway fray after ICE killing

How the ICE killing in Maine makes Susan Collins's re-election bid even trickier. Plus, top things to do this weekend, the looming Red Line shutdown, and a dive into Red Sox stats.

BDBangor Daily News2 months ago

Nirav Shah gets huge ad boost from Democratic group

The new ad from 314 Action spotlights the gubernatorial candidate’s leadership of the Maine CDC during the COVID-19 pandemic.

NNewsweek10 days ago

Democrats’ Chances of Defeating GOP to Flip Senate Amid Platner Allegations

New allegations against Maine Senate candidate Graham Platner threaten to complicate Democrats' path to flipping the Senate.

WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit1 month ago

The Latest: Primary elections in Alabama, Oklahoma and Georgia further test Trump’s influence

An endorsement from President Donald Trump is worth a lot in Republican primaries.

NYNew York Magazine1 month ago

Reaction and Fallout

The Maine Senate candidate Graham Platner is allegations of abusive behavior, one of his accusers says it’s worse than was reported, and Senate Democrats seem caught. Here’s all the fallout and reaction following the New York Times report.

TBThe Boston Globe1 month ago

Ayotte and Warmington file for N.H. governor’s race, trade barbs

Republican incumbent Governor Kelly Ayotte and Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington formally filed their paperwork Thursday as candidates in the New Hampshire governor's race.

NNewsweek2 months ago

Janet Mills Says ‘I Am Still on the Ballot’ Amid Platner Texting Fallout

Mills says she remains on Maine’s June 9 ballot after suspending her campaign, as scrutiny of Platner’s past messages reshapes the Senate primary race.

NNewsweek2 months ago

Graham Platner’s Wife Warned Campaign of Explicit Texts to Women-Report

Platner's wife told aides he had sent sexually explicit text messages to multiple women shortly after they were married.

Polls

Polling Average

60%50%40%30%20%10%0%

46.6%

41%

38.5%

35.7%

K. Ayotte

D. McEachern

C. Warmington

J. Kiper

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Ayotte	McEachern	Warmington	Kiper
Polling Average	Ayotte+5.6	46.6%	41.0%	38.5%	35.7%
Saint Anselm College Survey CenterJun 24 - 25	Ayotte+8.0	45.0%	–	37.0%	–
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterJun 18 - 23	Ayotte+5.0	44.0%	–	39.0%	–
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterApr 17 - 21	Ayotte+8.0	47.0%	–	39.0%	–
Saint Anselm College Survey CenterMar 16 - 18	Ayotte+7.0	46.0%	–	39.0%	–
Saint Anselm College Survey CenterMar 16 - 18	Ayotte+14.0	45.0%	–	–	31.0%
yes. every kid.Jan 28 - 29	Ayotte+10.0	47.0%	–	–	37.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterJan 15 - 19	Ayotte+8.0	49.0%	41.0%	–	–
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterJan 15 - 19	Ayotte+11.0	50.0%	–	–	39.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Endorsements
Fundraising

Which Party wins the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Election?

New Hampshire Governor winner?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

News

As Maine Goes, So Goes the Senate? Not Necessarily.

Lindsey Graham’s Death Leaves Two Power Vacuums

Susan Collins sees her sway fray after ICE killing

Nirav Shah gets huge ad boost from Democratic group

Democrats’ Chances of Defeating GOP to Flip Senate Amid Platner Allegations

The Latest: Primary elections in Alabama, Oklahoma and Georgia further test Trump’s influence

Reaction and Fallout

Ayotte and Warmington file for N.H. governor’s race, trade barbs

Janet Mills Says ‘I Am Still on the Ballot’ Amid Platner Texting Fallout

Graham Platner’s Wife Warned Campaign of Explicit Texts to Women-Report

Polls

Related races

New Hampshire Senate winner?

New Hampshire Republican Senate nominee?

New Hampshire Democratic Governor nominee?

NH-02 Republican nominee?

Upcoming Events

News

As Maine Goes, So Goes the Senate? Not Necessarily.

Lindsey Graham’s Death Leaves Two Power Vacuums

Susan Collins sees her sway fray after ICE killing

Nirav Shah gets huge ad boost from Democratic group

Democrats’ Chances of Defeating GOP to Flip Senate Amid Platner Allegations

The Latest: Primary elections in Alabama, Oklahoma and Georgia further test Trump’s influence

Reaction and Fallout

Ayotte and Warmington file for N.H. governor’s race, trade barbs

Janet Mills Says ‘I Am Still on the Ballot’ Amid Platner Texting Fallout

Graham Platner’s Wife Warned Campaign of Explicit Texts to Women-Report

Polls

Related races

New Hampshire Senate winner?

New Hampshire Republican Senate nominee?

New Hampshire Democratic Governor nominee?

NH-02 Republican nominee?