$28.8K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 10, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and polling averages. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average |
|---|---|---|
| Kelly Ayotte | 88% | 46.7% |
| 16% | 38.5% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
New Hampshire’s governor race is set: Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte will face Democrat Cinde Warmington in November. Reports say Ayotte has the early polling and fundraising edge, and the race is rated leaning Republican. The latest reports slightly reinforce Republican advantage in the governor race. Warmington’s nomination was expected, so the main market signal remains Ayotte’s reported edge.
Republican John E. Sununu, a former U.S. senator, and Democrat Chris Pappas, a member of the U.S. House, are vying to replace U.S. Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, whose decision not to seek reelection created a cascade of competitive races.
Cinde Warmington secured the Democratic nomination for New Hampshire governor while facing attacks over her past work as a Purdue Pharma attorney during the opioid crisis.
Kelly Ayotte easily won the New Hampshire primary, setting up a high-stakes general election battle against Democratic gubernatorial nominee Cinde Warmington.
New Hampshire Gov. Kelly Ayotte, a Republican, will face off against Democrat Cinde Warmington in November’s general election, NBC News projects, as the incumbent seeks another two-year term.
Republican John E. Sununu and Democrat Chris Pappas will compete for an open U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire in a race that has emerged as one of a handful...
In a two-sided, color mailer sent to households across the state, state Rep. Ryan Fazio stated flatly that "Ned Lamont raised your electricity bill.''
By HOLLY RAMER and KATHY McCORMACK CONCORD, N.H. (AP) — New Hampshire primary voters are choosing candidates for Congress, governor and the 424-seat state Legislature on Tuesday, and incumbents aren’t the only familiar names on the ballot. U.S. Sen. Jeanne Shaheen’s decision to not seek reelection created a cascade of competitive races. Two of the […]
Republicans are eyeing New Hampshire as a possible Senate pickup in the 2026 primary elections.
President Donald Trump’s endorsement will be put to the test once again Tuesday in New Hampshire’s primaries, where liberal Democrats are also looking to cap an ascendant primary season with additional victories.
New Hampshire primary voters are choosing candidates for Congress, governor and the state Legislature, with the retirement of U.S. Sen. Jeanne Shaheen creating the most competitive races. Two Republicans hoping to replace the three-term Democrat are former senators she previously defeated: John E. Sununu and Scott Brown. The Democratic race includes U.S. Rep. Chris Pappas. His departure from the 1st Congressional District seat has led to a crowd of candidates seeking to fill it. Democratic incumbent Rep. Maggie Goodlander faces one primary challenger in the 2nd District, and Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte faces two little-known opponents in her primary.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Mar 16, 2026 and Aug 24, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
