$1.9M
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Deposit $10, get $25 on Polymarket
Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 13, 2026, 12:58 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 46.6% | — | |
| 11% | 42.3% | $4.18M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Trump-linked and other Republican-aligned groups are spending millions in competitive 2026 Senate races, including New Hampshire. The New Hampshire Senate field is now set after the September primaries, with Chris Pappas as the Democratic nominee. The new spending points to a more competitive race and could pressure Democratic odds. The spending surge suggests Republicans are trying to improve their position in New Hampshire, but the effect is still uncertain. Heavy outside money likely keeps the race competitive and may increase volatility.
The midterm elections may be challenging for Republicans, but there are some key House races where the GOP might turn the tables.
Widespread dissatisfaction with the state of the country has opened up a prime Senate pickup opportunity for Democrats in Ohio and made for a razor-thin contest in Iowa, according to new CNN polls conducted by SSRS.
Fears of an Obama-induced blue wave are beginning to overwhelm Republicans.
Democrats pushed further into deep Republican territory this week, adding US House districts President Donald Trump won by double digits in 2024 to their midterm election target list, fueling talk of a Democratic, or "blue wave," victory on November 3.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jun 24, 2026 and Oct 5, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
J. SununuJohn E. SununuSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
