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NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 18, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and polling averages. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average |
|---|---|---|
| 85% | 44.7% | |
| 18% | 44.3% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
A new poll has Tina Kotek ahead of Christine Drazan 48% to 44% in a possible rematch, but the margin is within the survey’s error range. Drazan has already won the Republican nomination, setting up the November race. The latest reporting suggests Kotek remains favored, though the contest may be closer than in 2022. The poll supports Democrats but also points to a tighter race than before. That likely keeps Oregon leaning Democratic while preserving some uncertainty.
Washington state will hold a primary Tuesday for the U.S. House and other offices as firefighters battle wildfires that have devastated the Spokane area and forced local election officials to operate...
Fourteen Republicans are looking to prevail in the May 19 primary and move closer to breaking a 40-year streak of Democratic Oregon governors.
PHOENIX (AP) — Democratic Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs has picked a Republican-turned-independent to be her running mate in a tough reelection campaign…
Washington state will hold a primary Tuesday for U.S. House and other offices as firefighters battle wildfires that have devastated the state's second-largest city, Spokane, and forced local officials to operate under a state of emergency.
A poll commissioned by Sen. Christine Drazan's campaign showed her ahead of Gov. Tina Kotek but within the margin of error.
The signature swing state will once again take center stage in the midterms.
The delay in California election results is less about malfunction and more about how the state has designed its voting system, according to election experts.
David Brock Smith has won the Republican primary for U.S. Senate in Oregon. He will advance to the November general election to challenge the incumbent, Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley, who was first...
The president’s favored candidates scored decisive victories while his opponents were soundly rejected by Republican primary voters. But whether that amounts to wins in November remains to be seen.
A rematch four years in the making tightens as new polling shows the Republican challenger drawing level with the Democratic incumbent.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jan 28, 2026 and Jun 24, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
