

Compare the candidates' live odds and polling averages. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average |
|---|---|---|
| 72% | 44.6% | |
| 28% | 45.0% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Christine Drazan has secured the Republican nomination, setting up a rematch with Gov. Tina Kotek. Recent polling shows Kotek ahead but within the margin of error, and the data center moratorium has emerged as a major issue in the race. The primary result confirms the general-election matchup, while polling still points to Democrats as slight favorites. The race looks competitive, so the market may stay sensitive to new polling or campaign developments.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jan 28, 2026 and Sep 27, 2026.


Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.