Prediction Edge

2026 Kentucky Elections & races

Track Kentucky election odds, candidates, polls, key dates, market volume and race movement across the 2026 races on Prediction Edge.

Overview

Kentucky's 2026 cycle centers on an open US Senate seat: retiring Senator Mitch McConnell is not seeking re-election, and the May 19 closed primaries nominated Republican Andy Barr and Democrat Charles Booker. All six US House districts are also on the November 3 ballot, including the open Sixth District and a Fourth District race reshaped when incumbent Thomas Massie lost his primary. Louisville holds its first nonpartisan mayoral election the same day, while the next governor race comes in 2027. Prediction Edge connects live market odds with candidate pages, polling context, official dates and market-moving updates for every tracked Kentucky race.

2026 Kentucky Election Snapshot

Primary Election
May 19, 2026
General Election
Nov 3, 2026
Main Statewide Race
Open seat
Primary System
Closed primary
Major Offices
US Senate, US House, Mayor
Partisan Lean
Strong Republican
Not a core swing state
Early Voting
No-excuse early voting generally runs from five days before Election Day through the Saturday before Election Day.
Prediction Edge Coverage
Odds, polls, candidates, market volume, race pages and alerts

Key Kentucky Races to Watch in 2026

Kentucky US Senate Races 2026

Retiring Senator Mitch McConnell has held this seat since 1985. The open-seat race matches Republican Representative Andy Barr against Democrat Charles Booker, the nominees chosen in Kentucky's May 19 primaries ahead of the November 3 general election.

Kentucky Senate winner?
$78.6KNov 7, 2026
See all US Senate races

Kentucky US House Races 2026

All six Kentucky US House seats are up in November 2026. Tracked races include the open Sixth District, vacated by Senate candidate Andy Barr, and the Fourth, where incumbent Thomas Massie lost the May Republican primary to Ed Gallrein.

See all US House races

Kentucky Mayor Races 2026

Louisville holds its first nonpartisan mayoral election on November 3, 2026. Incumbent Craig Greenberg and Metro Council member Shameka Parrish-Wright advanced from the May 19 primary as the top two finishers.

Louisville Mayor Election winner?
$13.1KNov 4, 2026
See all Mayor races

2026 Kentucky Elections Calendar

  1. Kentucky 2026 primary
  2. Kentucky 2026 general election
See full calendar

Kentucky Candidates Running in 2026

Explore candidate pages for Kentucky's major 2026 races — odds, polling, fundraising, endorsements and news.

See all candidates

Kentucky Polls, Odds Movement & Market Signals

See all
Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
49%
46%
41%
39%
A. Barr
D. Cameron
N. Morris
C. Booker
Date (Start - End)SpreadBarrCameronMorrisBooker
Polling Average
Barr+3.0
49.0%46.0%41.0%39.0%
Public Policy PollingDec 18 - 19
Barr+11.0
49.0%38.0%
Public Policy PollingDec 18 - 19
Cameron+7.0
46.0%39.0%
Public Policy PollingDec 18 - 19
Morris+1.0
41.0%40.0%

2026 Kentucky Elections FAQ

When is the 2026 Kentucky primary election?
The 2026 Kentucky primary election is on May 19, 2026.
When is the 2026 Kentucky general election?
The 2026 Kentucky general election is on Nov 3, 2026.
What races are on the ballot in Kentucky in 2026?
Kentucky's November 3, 2026 ballot features the open US Senate seat, all six US House districts, state legislative races covering half of the state Senate and the full state House, and local contests including Louisville's first nonpartisan mayoral election. There is no governor race in 2026, and one statewide constitutional amendment — limiting the governor's pardon and commutation power around gubernatorial elections — is also on the November ballot.
How does Kentucky's primary work?
Kentucky uses closed primaries: voters could participate only in the primary of the party they were registered with by December 31, 2025, and nominations are decided by plurality with no runoff. The 2026 primaries took place on May 19 and set the November matchups. Louisville's newly nonpartisan mayoral primary instead advanced the top two finishers regardless of party.
Why is the 2026 Kentucky US Senate race important?
Kentucky elects its governor in odd-numbered years, so that office is not on the 2026 ballot; the next governor race comes in November 2027, when term-limited incumbent Andy Beshear cannot seek a third consecutive term. In 2026 the marquee contest is the open US Senate seat created by Mitch McConnell's retirement, alongside all six US House districts and Louisville's mayoral race.
Where can I follow Kentucky election odds?
Follow live Kentucky election odds, candidate standings, polls and market-moving updates on this Prediction Edge Kentucky hub.

2026 Statewide Elections and Races