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FEB 23, 2028
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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source: Kalshi
Fresh reporting says JB Pritzker is openly criticizing Brandon Johnson over the Bears/stadium fight, while Matthew Brewer is seriously considering a mayoral run. That keeps the incumbent under visible pressure and may matter for Johnson’s reelection odds in this still-shallow 2027 market.
Joe Holberg's odds in the Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027) are above the prior high of 10%.
New public reporting says Chicago’s ethics board fined Paul Vallas $214,000 for accepting excessive donations from people doing business with the city. The hit adds a fresh negative headline to a small but active Vallas contract that already moved sharply on the news.
Brandon Johnson still has not said whether he will run again in 2027, and recent coverage says his approval is weak. At the same time, Matthew Brewer is weighing a bid and George Cardenas has launched an exploratory committee. The race looks more open, with voters said to be focused on competence. Johnson’s uncertainty and weak approval may keep the race open and support alternative candidates. Brewer and Cardenas exploring bids adds some uncertainty, but no clear frontrunner has emerged from the new reports.
Tuesday's primary election also comes at a time of promise for the next governor: Elevated global oil prices from the Iran war have translated into an influx of tax revenue.
Former President Barack Obama looks to boost Democrats James Talarico and Gina Hinojosa in their Texas races.
Plus: What Mayor Johnson plans to discuss with Pope Leo XIV, why a Michelin-starred restaurant abruptly closed and more.
Brewer is the Chicago Housing Authority's operating chair. His entry into the already crowded 2027 race for mayor would likely hurt incumbent Mayor Brandon Johnson, who currently has the left lane to himself and is likely to be the only prominent African-American in the race.
A new poll shows that only 1 in 6 Chicago residents say they’re sticking with Mayor Brandon Johnson in the 2027 mayoral election.
Three independent candidates submitted thousands of signatures to get on the November ballot in Illinois’ 4th Congressional district, teeing up a rare contested general election.
The parties that once anchored Israel's ties to Democrats have collapsed electorally — and even a post-Netanyahu government may struggle to win back a Democratic Party that's already moved on.
Asked about proposed cuts to teaching positions in the next school year, Mayor Brandon Johnson said the school district needs to spend more, not less.
A moratorium on school closings expires at the end of the 2026-27 school year, but Mayor Brandon Johnson said he won’t consider the possibility — even though scores of public schools are operating with more empty seats than students. “Didn't we do that already?" the mayor said.
Cardenas potential entry into the race could hurt retiring Illinois Comptroller Susana Mendoza by splitting the Latino vote. But the biggest loser could be Illinois Secretary of State Alexi Giannoulias, since Cardenas is a moderate who has made inroads with white ethnic voters.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
