$115.5K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 2, 2026, 4:58 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds |
|---|---|
| 96% | |
| 3% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Trump’s endorsement is the biggest new development in the Illinois governor race. It gives Darren Bailey a national Republican boost as he tries to challenge JB Pritzker again. Pritzker’s campaign is already highlighting Bailey’s alignment with Trump. The endorsement could help Bailey consolidate Republican support, but it also gives Democrats a clear attack line. The overall effect on the market is likely modest and mixed.
Republican candidate for governor Tom Tiffany has raised more than two times what Democratic opponent David Crowley has brought in since July.
What do Nov. 3 election candidates for the Illinois governor's office think about data centers? Incumbent Gov. JB Pritzker and challengers Darren Bailey and Collin Corbett talk costs, infrastructure
Iowa Democrat gubernatorial candidate Rob Sand defended the Green New Deal and opposed an Iowa bill defining sex as "either male or female as observed or clinically verified at birth.”
WASHINGTON — Maine Democrats have begun laying out the process for replacing Graham Platner as the party’s Senate nominee, as candidates race to assemble campaigns for a weekslong sprint to set up a marquee Senate matchup. Platner posted a letter declaring his withdrawal of candidacy to social media on Friday afternoon, making official his announcement earlier this week that he would suspend ...
Former President Barack Obama looks to boost Democrats James Talarico and Gina Hinojosa in their Texas races.
Breaking down the rumors of Gov. Mikie Sherrill's potential roles on the national stage.
Scandals abound as voters in Florida, Alaska, Wyoming, and California choose between felons, underwear models, and disgraced former congressmen.
The heartland Democrat is making a comeback.
Tim Miller, the son of a veteran who died at the downstate Quincy veterans' home amid a Legionnaires' disease outbreak, blames Nirav Shah for his father's death and calls the Maine U.S. Senate candidate a member of "Rauner's death squad."
Crypto PAC poured $12 million into Barry Moore’s Alabama Senate bid, and it worked: the Trump loyalist crushed former Navy SEAL Jared Hudson in the GOP primary runoff, setting him up as the likely nominee in November.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Nov 20, 2025 and Nov 24, 2025.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
D. BaileyDarren BaileySource: FEC
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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
