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NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
David Morales is now leading with 57% odds and a 9.0-point margin in the Providence mayor race.
Brett Smiley's odds are down 19.0 points and are now at 53% over a 3-day streak.
Morales has edged higher in the market as recent Providence coverage keeps the rent-control fight and his challenge to Brett Smiley front and center, making the race more tradable around the incumbent-vs-progressive matchup.
Housing affordability is emerging as a central issue in the Providence mayoral race, with David Morales pressing rent control against incumbent Brett Smiley. Smiley’s veto of a rent cap bill and the teachers union endorsement of Morales add to the focus on housing and labor. Tenant organizing at Charles Place keeps local housing conditions in the spotlight. The housing debate and union endorsement may give Morales a modest boost, but the race still looks centered on a broader affordability fight. The news adds some support for Morales without clearly changing the overall outlook.
A cohort of young Millennial and Gen Z politicians have centered their campaigns this year on housing costs, and the divide is more generational than partisan.
The Providence Teachers Union announced Monday its members “overwhelmingly agreed” to endorse state Representative David Morales over incumbent Mayor Brett Smiley ahead of September’s Democratic primary.
Graham Platner’s wife has responded to reports about his alleged sexually explicit texts with several women.
Graham Platner’s wife has responded to reports about his alleged sexually explicit texts with several women.
Former Revenue Commissioner Adam Crum picked Robert Craig. Sen. Matt Claman picked Sarah Skeel.
Graham Platner's wife publicly responded over the weekend to reports that she had informed his U.S. Senate campaign that the candidate had previously exchanged sexually explicit text messages with several women.
To celebrate the World Cup, Globe columnist Dan McGowan has assigned each of the 48 tournament teams to a Rhode Island political figure, confidently making comparisons that are based on little more than vibes.
The Section 8 housing complex is the second one managed by Wingate Companies to unionize.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
