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2026 Rhode Island Mayor Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 Rhode Island Mayor Election Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Market closes: Nov 6, 11:59pm ET (Nov 7, 4:59am UTC)

Providence Mayor winner?

$38.5K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

D. Morales

68.0%

B. Smiley

34.0%

M. English

0.0%

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Discovery Insights Elections Candidates Calendar Watchlist

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OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 1, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$38.5K

24h volume

$3.8K

D. Morales68%

B. Smiley34%

M. English1%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Providence’s mayoral race is heading into the Sept. 9 Democratic primary, with early voting already underway. Smiley has a major money advantage, while Morales has gained a teachers union endorsement and is pressing housing and public safety issues. The contest remains focused on whether the incumbent can hold off a well-funded challenge. Smiley’s fundraising edge and incumbent status likely support him, but Morales has picked up a notable union endorsement. The latest coverage keeps the race competitive rather than clearly shifting it.

Articles

PJProvidence Journal (Projo)4 days ago

We asked the CD2 candidates where they stand on RI issues | Exclusive

Seth Magaziner, Vic Mellor and Dr. Stephen Skoly share their stances on energy, health care and food access in RI.

PJProvidence Journal (Projo)11 days ago

Providence mayor race voter guide where candidates stand on the issues

We brought in Mayor Brett Smiley and Rep. David Morales to ask them about some of the key issues in the race. Here are their answers.

SSalon3 days ago

Throughout Latin America, US backs autocrats in the name of liberty

Trump regime is supporting a range of ruling-class right-wing leaders who will do as America orders

PJProvidence Journal (Projo)20 days ago

Smiley, Morales burn cash in last stretch of Providence mayoral race

Brett Smiley outspent David Morales by almost eight-to-one. But the challenger received more donations as the early voting date nears.

TBThe Boston Globe2 months ago

Democratic socialism or pragmatism? Smiley, Morales present different visions in TV debate

Mayor Brett Smiley is seeking a second term leading Rhode Island’s largest city, but faces a spirited primary challenge from the left in former state Representative David Morales

PJProvidence Journal (Projo)2 months ago

Smiley's first attack ad accuses Morales of wanting to defund police

The advertisement, titled "Turn Back," features footage of all terrain vehicles and motorcycles speeding and pulling wheelies on city streets.

TBThe Boston Globe2 months ago

The Providence mayor's race is real

The incumbent mayor just kicked off his TV advertising with an attack on his progressive challenger, David Morales.

PJProvidence Journal (Projo)2 months ago

RI's 2026 election ballot takes shape, and most legislative seats uncontested

Rhode Island election filings show 62% of legislative seats are uncontested amid new political battles.

TNThe New York Times3 months ago

A Youthful Crop of Politicians Run on Housing, and Their Own Rent

A cohort of young Millennial and Gen Z politicians have centered their campaigns this year on housing costs, and the divide is more generational than partisan.

TBThe Boston Globe3 months ago

Providence Teachers Union backs challenger David Morales for mayor

The Providence Teachers Union announced Monday its members “overwhelmingly agreed” to endorse state Representative David Morales over incumbent Mayor Brett Smiley ahead of September’s Democratic primary.

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Polls
Endorsements
Fundraising

2026 Rhode Island Mayor Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Providence Mayor winner?

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Election News

We asked the CD2 candidates where they stand on RI issues | Exclusive

Providence mayor race voter guide where candidates stand on the issues

Throughout Latin America, US backs autocrats in the name of liberty

Smiley, Morales burn cash in last stretch of Providence mayoral race

Democratic socialism or pragmatism? Smiley, Morales present different visions in TV debate

Smiley's first attack ad accuses Morales of wanting to defund police

The Providence mayor's race is real

RI's 2026 election ballot takes shape, and most legislative seats uncontested

A Youthful Crop of Politicians Run on Housing, and Their Own Rent

Providence Teachers Union backs challenger David Morales for mayor

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Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Election News

We asked the CD2 candidates where they stand on RI issues | Exclusive

Providence mayor race voter guide where candidates stand on the issues

Throughout Latin America, US backs autocrats in the name of liberty

Smiley, Morales burn cash in last stretch of Providence mayoral race

Democratic socialism or pragmatism? Smiley, Morales present different visions in TV debate

Smiley's first attack ad accuses Morales of wanting to defund police

The Providence mayor's race is real

RI's 2026 election ballot takes shape, and most legislative seats uncontested

A Youthful Crop of Politicians Run on Housing, and Their Own Rent

Providence Teachers Union backs challenger David Morales for mayor

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