$20.6K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 3, 2026, 5:28 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and polling averages. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average |
|---|---|---|
| 98% | 39.8% | |
| 3% | 24.7% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Helena Foulkes has replaced Gov. Dan McKee as the Democratic nominee after a clear primary win. On the Republican side, Aaron Guckian’s narrow lead is being challenged with a recount request. Early primary data also showed higher turnout and a younger electorate. Foulkes’ primary win changes the Democratic nominee but likely leaves Democrats favored in the general election. The GOP side remains unsettled because the Republican primary may still be reviewed or recounted.
Republican gubernatorial candidate Elaine Pelino is requesting a recount in the close Rhode Island primary race.
Unofficial results show Helena Foulkes winning handedly over Gov. Dan McKee.
Rhode Island voters will go to the polls on Wednesday with Gov. Daniel McKee facing a primary challenge from Helena Foulkes, with the latest Emerson College
Unlike four years ago, Democratic voters this election year have increasingly shown a willingness to oust incumbents.
Guckian, who ran for lieutenant governor four years ago, beat Elaine Pelino to the endorsement on a 72-to-44 vote with 10 votes for no endorsement.
A new day has dawned in Democratic politics, with the Kennedy clan no longer conferring enough fame and fortune to overcome more experienced opponents
For the first time ever in a Rhode Island primary, the baby boomer generation was outnumbered by younger voters, according to unofficial results.
KINSHASA, Congo — The Ebola outbreak in Congo, the world’s fastest-growing outbreak of the disease on record, has now spread to seven provinces in the Afri
Rhode Island Gov. Dan McKee is hoping to avoid becoming the first governor in any state to lose a party primary since 2018. He faces former CVS executive Helena Foulkes on Wednesday in his bid for a second full term. McKee has been criticized for delays in replacing a critical bridge that partially closed in 2023. Foulkes has argued that McKee's administration is ineffective. McKee has portrayed Foulkes as an out-of-touch elite. The primary election is being held on a Wednesday, a change from the usual Tuesday, due to its proximity to Labor Day.
Key races to watch include the face off between Sen. Ed Markey and Rep. Seth Moulton for the Democrate Senate nomination and what will happen with Moulton's empty seat.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Apr 13, 2026 and Sep 25, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
