Prediction Edge

2026 Michigan Elections & races

Track Michigan election odds, candidates, polls, key dates, market volume and race movement across the 2026 races on Prediction Edge.

Overview

Michigan's November 3, 2026 ballot is dominated by open seats: Gov. Gretchen Whitmer is term-limited, Sen. Gary Peters is retiring, and Attorney General Dana Nessel and Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson are also term-limited. All 13 US House districts and both state legislative chambers are up as well. Most nominees will be chosen in Michigan's open primary on August 4, 2026; attorney general and secretary of state candidates are instead nominated at party conventions. This Prediction Edge hub connects live market odds with candidate pages, polling context, official election dates, and market-moving updates for every tracked Michigan race.

2026 Michigan Election Snapshot

Primary Election
Aug 4, 2026
General Election
Nov 3, 2026
Main Statewide Race
Open seat
Primary System
Open primary
Major Offices
Governor, US Senate, US House, Attorney General
Partisan Lean
Competitive
Core swing state
Early Voting
Early voting is generally available by the second Saturday before Election Day through the Sunday before Election Day.
Prediction Edge Coverage
Odds, polls, candidates, market volume, race pages and alerts

Key Michigan Races to Watch in 2026

Michigan Governor Races 2026

Gov. Gretchen Whitmer is term-limited, leaving Michigan's governorship open in 2026. Markets track the August 4 Democratic and Republican primaries alongside the November general election in a state both parties treat as a core battleground.

Michigan Republican Governor nominee?
$334.9KAug 5, 2026
Michigan Governor winner?
$269.7KNov 7, 2026
Michigan Democratic Governor nominee?
$53.0KAug 5, 2026
See all Governor races

Michigan US Senate Races 2026

Sen. Gary Peters' retirement opens Michigan's Class 2 Senate seat in 2026. Markets cover the Democratic nomination contest and the November general election, one of the cycle's most closely watched open-seat Senate races.

Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?
$1.3MAug 5, 2026
Michigan Senate winner?
$184.7KNov 7, 2026
Michigan Senate winner? (Person)
$73.3KNov 7, 2026
See all US Senate races

Michigan US House Races 2026

All 13 Michigan US House seats are on the 2026 ballot. Markets track nomination fights in metro Detroit districts, including the open 10th District, where Rep. John James is leaving to run for governor.

MI-07 Democratic nominee?
$50.3KAug 5, 2026
MI-13 Democratic nominee?
$45.8KAug 5, 2026
MI-13 Republican nominee?
$38.0KAug 5, 2026
See all US House races

Michigan Attorney General Races 2026

Attorney General Dana Nessel is term-limited, putting Michigan's top law-enforcement office on the 2026 ballot as an open seat. Unlike most races, attorney general nominees are chosen at party conventions rather than the August primary.

Michigan Attorney General winner?
$6.4KNov 7, 2026
See all Attorney General races

2026 Michigan Elections Calendar

  1. Michigan 2026 primary
  2. Michigan 2026 general election
See full calendar

Michigan Candidates Running in 2026

Explore candidate pages for Michigan's major 2026 races — odds, polling, fundraising, endorsements and news.

See all candidates

Michigan Polls, Odds Movement & Market Signals

See all
Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
30.2%
20.9%
13.9%
5.5%
John James
J. James
Perry Johnson
P. Johnson
Mike Cox
M. Cox
Aric Nesbitt
A. Nesbitt
Tom Leonard
T. Leonard
Date (Start - End)SpreadJamesJohnsonCoxNesbittLeonard
Polling Average
James+9.3
30.2%20.9%13.9%5.5%2.6%
Strategic NationalJun 10 - 14
Johnson+2.7
23.8%26.5%12.4%5.9%
Susquehanna Polling & ResearchJun 9 - 14
James+18.0
38.0%10.0%20.0%3.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsJun 11 - 13
James+1.0
28.0%23.0%27.0%4.0%
Tarrance GroupJun 1 - 4
James+12.0
38.0%26.0%22.0%12.0%
TIPP InsightsMay 20 - 23
James+11.0
31.0%19.0%20.0%3.0%
1892 PollingMay 12 - 14
James+1.0
24.0%23.0%7.0%7.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMay 1 - 7
James+9.0
32.0%23.0%19.0%7.0%
Glengariff GroupApr 24 - 24
James+17.2
37.0%19.8%9.9%6.9%2.6%
OnMessageApr 15 - 18
James+23.0
41.0%18.0%7.0%5.0%
Emerson CollegeApr 11 - 13
Johnson+1.2
20.2%21.4%10.2%2.8%3.7%
1892 PollingMar 25 - 26
James+5.0
26.0%21.0%6.0%4.0%1.0%
JMC AnalyticsMar 21 - 23
James+3.0
23.0%20.0%6.0%5.0%3.0%

2026 Michigan Elections FAQ

When is the 2026 Michigan primary election?
The 2026 Michigan primary election is on Aug 4, 2026.
When is the 2026 Michigan general election?
The 2026 Michigan general election is on Nov 3, 2026.
What races are on the ballot in Michigan in 2026?
Michigan's November 3, 2026 ballot includes governor and lieutenant governor, an open US Senate seat, all 13 US House districts, attorney general, secretary of state, all 38 state Senate and 110 state House seats, two Michigan Supreme Court seats, and state education and university boards. Governor, US Senate, attorney general, and secretary of state are all open races.
How does Michigan's primary work?
Michigan holds an open primary on August 4, 2026. Voters do not register by party; each voter privately selects one party's ballot and may vote only in that party's contests. There is no runoff, so the highest vote-getter wins the nomination. Attorney general and secretary of state nominees are chosen at party conventions instead of the primary.
Why is the 2026 Michigan Governor race important?
The 2026 Michigan governor's race is an open contest because Gov. Gretchen Whitmer is term-limited. The outcome will decide whether Democrats keep the governorship in a state Donald Trump carried in 2024, and the winner will shape policy in one of the nation's premier battlegrounds. Contested primaries in both parties on August 4 add to the stakes.
Where can I follow Michigan election odds?
Follow live Michigan election odds, candidate standings, polls and market-moving updates on this Prediction Edge Michigan hub.

2026 Statewide Elections and Races