Prediction Edge

2026 Montana Elections & races

Track Montana election odds, candidates, polls, key dates, market volume and race movement across the 2026 races on Prediction Edge.

Overview

Montana's 2026 cycle is headlined by an open US Senate race: Sen. Steve Daines withdrew from his re-election bid in March, and the June 2 open primary set the major-party matchup between Kurt Alme (R) and Alani Bankhead (D), with independent Seth Bodnar's bid pending signature certification. Both US House seats are also up, with MT-01 open after Rep. Ryan Zinke declined to run again, alongside one Montana Supreme Court seat, Public Service Commission and legislative races. The governorship is not on the ballot until 2028. This Prediction Edge hub connects live market odds with candidate pages, polling context, official dates and market-moving updates.

2026 Montana Election Snapshot

Primary Election
Jun 2, 2026
General Election
Nov 3, 2026
Main Statewide Race
Open seat
Primary System
Open primary
Major Offices
US House
Partisan Lean
Republican
District Level Context
Prediction Edge Coverage
Odds, polls, candidates, market volume, race pages and alerts

Key Montana Races to Watch in 2026

Montana US House Races 2026

Both Montana seats are on the 2026 ballot. MT-01 is open after Rep. Ryan Zinke declined to run again, pairing Aaron Flint (R) with Sam Forstag (D); in MT-02, Rep. Troy Downing (R) seeks a second term against Brian Miller (D).

See all US House races

2026 Montana Elections Calendar

  1. Montana 2026 primary
  2. Montana 2026 general election
See full calendar

Montana Candidates Running in 2026

Explore candidate pages for Montana's major 2026 races — odds, polling, fundraising, endorsements and news.

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Montana Polls, Odds Movement & Market Signals

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Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
46.3%
46%
44%
43%
41.7%
A. Flint
R. Zinke
R. Busse
M. Rains
S. Forstag
Date (Start - End)SpreadFlintZinkeBusseRainsForstag
Polling Average
Flint+0.3
46.3%46.0%44.0%43.0%41.7%
Impact ResearchJun 22 - 25
Flint+0.0
44.0%44.0%
Upswing ResearchApr 30 - May 5
Flint+4.0
47.0%43.0%
Upswing ResearchApr 30 - May 5
Flint+5.0
48.0%43.0%
Peak InsightsJan 12 - 15
Zinke+10.0
48.0%38.0%
Peak InsightsJan 12 - 15
Zinke+6.0
47.0%41.0%
Tulchin ResearchNov 22 - 25
Busse+4.0
43.0%47.0%

2026 Montana Elections FAQ

When is the 2026 Montana primary election?
The 2026 Montana primary election is on Jun 2, 2026.
When is the 2026 Montana general election?
The 2026 Montana general election is on Nov 3, 2026.
What races are on the ballot in Montana in 2026?
Montana's November 3, 2026 ballot features an open US Senate seat, both US House districts (MT-01 and MT-02), one nonpartisan Montana Supreme Court race — retiring Justice Beth Baker's associate-justice seat, with Amy Eddy and Dan Wilson advancing — two Public Service Commission districts, all 100 state House seats and half of the state Senate. There is no governor race; statewide executive offices next appear in 2028.
How does Montana's primary work?
Montana uses an open primary. Voters do not register by party; each voter receives every party's primary ballot and privately selects one to vote. The top vote-getter in each party advances to the general election, with no runoff. Montana's 2026 primary was held June 2, setting the November 3 matchups.
Why is the 2026 Montana US House race important?
Montana does not elect a governor in 2026; the next gubernatorial election is in November 2028, when Gov. Greg Gianforte will be term-limited. The marquee contest on Montana's 2026 ballot is the open US Senate race created by Sen. Steve Daines's March withdrawal, the state's highest-profile statewide race this cycle.
Where can I follow Montana election odds?
Follow live Montana election odds, candidate standings, polls and market-moving updates on this Prediction Edge Montana hub.

2026 Statewide Elections and Races