Prediction Edge

2026 Oklahoma Elections & races

Track Oklahoma election odds, candidates, polls, key dates, market volume and race movement across the 2026 races on Prediction Edge.

Overview

Oklahoma's 2026 ballot features two marquee open races: Governor Kevin Stitt is term-limited, and the Class 2 US Senate seat came open when Markwayne Mullin resigned in March 2026 to lead the Department of Homeland Security, with appointed Senator Alan Armstrong not seeking a full term. All five US House districts, an open lieutenant governor's office and the other statewide executive posts are also up. Closed party primaries are set for June 16, 2026, with August 25 runoffs where no candidate wins a majority, ahead of the November 3 general election. This hub connects live market odds with candidate pages, polling context, official dates and market-moving updates.

2026 Oklahoma Election Snapshot

Primary Election
Jun 16, 2026
General Election
Nov 3, 2026
Main Statewide Race
Open seat
Primary System
Closed primary with runoff
Major Offices
Governor, US Senate, US House, Attorney General
Partisan Lean
Strong Republican
Not a core swing state
Early Voting
General-election early voting generally runs from the Wednesday before Election Day through 2 p.m. on the Saturday before Election Day.
Prediction Edge Coverage
Odds, polls, candidates, market volume, race pages and alerts

Key Oklahoma Races to Watch in 2026

Oklahoma Governor Races 2026

Governor Kevin Stitt is term-limited, leaving Oklahoma's top office open for the first time since 2018. Attorney General Gentner Drummond and former House Speaker Charles McCall headline a crowded June 16 Republican primary; House Minority Leader Cyndi Munson is among the Democrats running.

Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?
$860.0KAug 26, 2026
Oklahoma Governor winner?
$55.4KNov 7, 2026
See all Governor races

Oklahoma US Senate Races 2026

Markwayne Mullin resigned in March 2026 to lead the Department of Homeland Security; appointed Senator Alan Armstrong pledged not to seek a full term, leaving the Class 2 seat open. Markets track both parties' June 16 primaries and the November winner.

Oklahoma Democratic Senate nominee?
$38.1KAug 26, 2026
See all US Senate races

Oklahoma US House Races 2026

All five Oklahoma US House seats are on the 2026 ballot. Kevin Hern's Senate bid opened the Tulsa-based 1st District, drawing its largest Republican primary field ever, while markets also track nomination contests in the 3rd and 5th Districts.

See all US House races

Oklahoma Attorney General Races 2026

Live odds, candidates and market movement for Oklahoma Attorney General races in 2026.

Who will win the Attorney General race in Oklahoma?
$609Nov 7, 2026
See all Attorney General races

2026 Oklahoma Elections Calendar

  1. Oklahoma 2026 primary
  2. Oklahoma 2026 primary runoff, if required
  3. Oklahoma 2026 general election
See full calendar

Oklahoma Candidates Running in 2026

Explore candidate pages for Oklahoma's major 2026 races — odds, polling, fundraising, endorsements and news.

See all candidates

Oklahoma Polls, Odds Movement & Market Signals

See all
Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
27.9%
24.9%
12.8%
12.2%
5.5%
Wil Genter Drummond
W. Drummond
Charles McCall
C. McCall
Mike Mazzei
M. Mazzei
Chip Keating
C. Keating
Jake Merrick
J. Merrick
Date (Start - End)SpreadDrummondMcCallMazzeiKeatingMerrick
Polling Average
Drummond+3.0
27.9%24.9%12.8%12.2%5.5%
JMC AnalyticsJun 2 - 3
Mazzei+5.0
21.0%8.0%26.0%12.0%12.0%
Pulse Decision SicenceMay 26 - 28
Drummond+2.0
24.0%12.0%22.0%17.0%
Allyson Shortle/NonDoc MediaMay 21 - 25
Mazzei+0.4
21.7%18.4%22.1%21.4%7.2%
Pulse Decision SicenceApr 7 - 9
Drummond+12.0
33.0%12.0%15.0%21.0%
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & AssociatesJan 26 - 30
Drummond+22.0
36.0%14.0%13.0%13.0%5.0%
yes. every kid.Oct 29 - 31
McCall+0.0
22.0%22.0%2.0%7.0%2.0%
co/efficientOct 25 - 27
McCall+11.0
20.0%31.0%1.0%5.0%3.0%
co/efficientOct 25 - 27
McCall+17.0
23.0%40.0%
Stratus IntelligenceOct 15 - 17
McCall+2.0
30.0%32.0%1.0%7.0%4.0%
Stratus IntelligenceOct 15 - 17
McCall+8.0
37.0%45.0%
Stratus IntelligenceSep 23 - 25
Drummond+1.0
32.0%31.0%6.0%
Stratus IntelligenceSep 23 - 25
Drummond+2.0
35.0%33.0%

2026 Oklahoma Elections FAQ

When is the 2026 Oklahoma primary election?
The 2026 Oklahoma primary election is on Jun 16, 2026.
When is the 2026 Oklahoma general election?
The 2026 Oklahoma general election is on Nov 3, 2026.
What races are on the ballot in Oklahoma in 2026?
Oklahoma's November 3, 2026 ballot includes an open governor's race, the open Class 2 US Senate seat, all five US House districts, and statewide executive offices including lieutenant governor, attorney general, treasurer, superintendent of public instruction, labor commissioner, insurance commissioner and a Corporation Commission seat. State legislative seats are also up, with closed primaries June 16 and possible runoffs August 25.
How does Oklahoma's primary work?
Oklahoma uses closed primaries: on June 16, 2026, only voters registered with a party may vote in that party's primary, and no recognized party opted to admit independents for the 2026-27 cycle. A candidate must win a majority to advance; otherwise the top two finishers meet in an August 25 runoff, with general election nominees decided then.
Why is the 2026 Oklahoma Governor race important?
The governorship is open for the first time since 2018 because Kevin Stitt is term-limited. A crowded June 16 Republican primary, featuring Attorney General Gentner Drummond and former House Speaker Charles McCall among others, could extend to an August 25 runoff, while House Minority Leader Cyndi Munson seeks the Democratic nomination. The outcome decides who leads Oklahoma's executive branch for the next four years.
Where can I follow Oklahoma election odds?
Follow live Oklahoma election odds, candidate standings, polls and market-moving updates on this Prediction Edge Oklahoma hub.

2026 Statewide Elections and Races