Prediction Edge
Republican
James Fishback

Overview

Current roleInvestor

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age31 years old (Jan 1, 1995)

GenderMale

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LocationFlorida

BackgroundInvestor

EducationGeorgetown University (attended; studied international economics)

Notable personal detailsJames Thomas Fishback is an American investor and Republican political candidate running for the Republican nomination in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election. He founded the investment firm Azoria and previously worked at hedge fund Greenlight Capital (2021–2023). He attended Georgetown University and is from Davie, Florida.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate has proposed a high, targeted 50% “OnlyFans” sin tax to raise revenue for education and related programs while also campaigning to abolish property taxes and push other pro-business measures. Public statements combine calls for new, substantial targeted taxes with proposals to reduce or eliminate other taxes and regulatory actions, producing mixed signals on an overall tax philosophy.

Healthcare

The candidate has expressed a commitment to expanding access to healthcare specifically for veterans in Florida but has not published broader policy proposals on Medicare, Medicaid, the ACA, a public option, or market-based reforms. Public campaign materials and news coverage emphasize affordability, housing, and immigration, with limited public statements on general healthcare policy beyond veterans' access. Available evidence is narrow and does not establish a clear overall healthcare stance.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate supports aggressive restrictions on legal immigration and prioritizes enforcement actions, including ending the H‑1B visa program, firing H‑1B holders in state employment, canceling state contracts with firms that employ H‑1B workers, and calling for a near‑total moratorium on immigration.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports protecting fetal life from conception and opposes abortion access. He has pledged to close abortion clinics and Planned Parenthood facilities in the state and replace them with crisis pregnancy centers. His public statements and campaign materials indicate support for policies that would effectively ban abortion statewide.

Climate & Energy

Opposes large AI datacenter construction in Florida on grounds that their energy use would raise electricity costs for families and harm local resources, and emphasizes policies that favor lower energy prices. Expresses support for greater fossil-fuel production and lower gasoline prices as part of broader economic affordability arguments.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate supports broad expansion of gun rights and proposes repealing Florida’s red flag laws and the bump-stock ban, and lowering the effective firearm ownership age to 18. He frames these changes as protecting adults’ right to self-defense and opposes gun-safety restrictions that followed mass shootings.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 1, 2026

James Fishback is facing major backlash in the Florida Republican governor race after a viral confrontation in which he told a Black voter he should be "lynched." The incident has intensified scrutiny of his campaign and revived attention on earlier allegations involving a teenage girl, which he has denied. He is also trailing Rep. Byron Donalds in early polling, with little support in the latest survey. Fishback has been trying to build attention with provocative campaign themes and events, including a proposed tax on OnlyFans creators and a claim that Waffle House banned him from its Florida locations.

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Polls

Change Research
12%10%8%6%4%2%0%
9%
James Fishback
J. Fishback
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Change ResearchMay 16, 2026
9.0%
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 14, 2026
35.1%
Fabrizio, Lee & AssociatesApr 30, 2026
9.0%
The Public Sentiment InstituteApr 27, 2026
43.0%
Stetson University Center for Public Opinion ResearchApr 13, 2026
5.0%
Tarrance GroupApr 2, 2026
9.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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