Prediction Edge
Republican
Aaron Baker

Aaron Baker

Overview

Current rolePolitical candidate

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

LocationFlorida

BackgroundPolitical candidate

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Notable personal detailsAaron Baker is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in Florida’s 6th Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. He has filed with the Federal Election Commission and has authorized campaign committees including “AARON 4 FL” / “AARON 4 FL 6.” His campaign website states he lives in Sorrento, Florida, and was born in Lakeland, Florida, in 1980.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports regulatory and energy deregulation to reduce inflation and lower costs, favors policies to promote domestic energy production and economic growth, and identifies as a fiscal conservative while advocating federal investment in infrastructure and targeted incentives for local business growth. Emphasizes reducing regulations, expanding small-business support, and promoting homeownership transfers from federal programs.

Healthcare

Supports government action to strengthen Social Security and healthcare benefits, reduce insurance and prescription drug costs, and expand access to care by working with state and federal leaders to attract more general practitioners to underserved areas and prioritize substance-abuse and mental-health initiatives.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate emphasizes strong border security and says he will fight illegal immigration. His campaign frames immigration policy within an 'America First' conservative perspective and support for tougher enforcement at the border.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate identifies as "Pro life," indicating opposition to abortion and support for restricting abortion access while not detailing support for a total ban or specific gestational limits. No public statements or legislative record were found that endorse a personhood amendment or an absolute ban.

Climate & Energy

Supports an “all of the above” energy approach emphasizing expanded domestic production and energy deregulation while also embracing renewables, nuclear power, and critical mineral mining; prioritizes affordable, reliable energy and local efforts to address flooding and beach erosion. Advocates working with state and federal agencies and backing President Trump’s energy deregulation policies to reduce costs.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports the right to keep and bear arms and identifies as pro–Second Amendment; calls for ATF enforcement reform to protect federal firearms licensees from overly aggressive actions. Proposes federal funding for state and local free gun safety classes and advocates equipping law enforcement with additional gear and resources to improve public safety.

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$95.7K
$71.8K
$47.9K
$23.9K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$95.7K
$554.63
$95.2K
$6.3K

Source: FEC

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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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