$1.2M
AUG 18, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 100% | $4.29M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Randy Fine is the reported Republican nominee in Florida’s 6th Congressional District after winning the primary. Coverage since then has focused on a viral mailbox video involving Fine, but no new result has changed the nomination picture. Fine’s primary win clarifies the nominee market and likely strengthens his position in the Republican nomination contract. The mailbox controversy could add some uncertainty, but the provided summaries do not show it changing the outcome.
Rep. Randy Fine is projected to win the Republican Primary in Florida's 6th Congressional District ... which means Dan Bilzerian's political run has come to an end -- but he put up a good fight for not giving AF.
The internet, it turns out, really isn’t real life.
DCCC adds five candidates to its Red to Blue list in competitive districts as the party tries to retake the House of Representatives from Republicans who hold a slim majority.
Florida Congressman Randy Fine was going door to door looking for votes ... and somehow ended up rifling through a voter's mail.
Finance reports show Mellor loaning his campaign $2.2M, and then paying himself over $200,000 for in-kind work.
These maps show that the redistricting battle President Trump initiated has so far had a particular impact on largely Black congressional districts in Republican-led states.
Randy Fine defeated Dan Bilzerian and others in Florida's 6th Congressional District GOP primary after a campaign marred by antisemitic attacks.
The Louisiana Republican Party endorsed Rick Edmonds to run for Congress after previously endorsing his opponent, Blake Miguez.
Rep. Randy Fine (R-Fla.) feigned ignorance when asked about footage that appears to show him rifling through a voter’s mailbox while on the campaign trail.
An unprecedented gerrymandering effort led by Donald Trump—and internal divisions among Democrats—has made the Minority Leader’s path to victory harder than ever, Jason Zengerle reports.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
R. FineRandy Fine
D. BilzerianDan Bilzerian
C. GambaroCharles Gambaro
A. BakerAaron BakerSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
