Prediction Edge
Democrat
Aaron Gies

Aaron Gies

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in New York

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Aaron Gies is trading at 7% to win the NY-23 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleCollege professor

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

LocationNew York

BackgroundCollege professor

Show more

Notable personal detailsAaron M. Gies is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in New York’s 23rd Congressional District in the 2026 cycle. He is a theology and Franciscan studies faculty member at St. Bonaventure University and has worked in education and church music ministry. He ran for the Democratic nomination in NY-23 in 2026 and maintained a principal campaign committee registered with the FEC.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports restoring fairness to the tax system by requiring wealthy individuals and corporations to pay their fair share and prioritizes funding for healthcare, education, and programs that reduce costs for families. Advocates against policies that shift public funds to wealthy interests and emphasizes investing in local economies and services.

Healthcare

Supports making healthcare more affordable and protecting rural access to doctors and hospitals, but public materials available do not specify support for Medicare for All, a public option, or detailed policy proposals. Statements emphasize lowering costs and preserving local health services without clear alignment to a specific reform pathway.

Show more

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports a woman’s right to choose, opposes criminalizing reproductive decisions, and supports codifying the protections of Roe v. Wade into federal law; would vote no on any attempted national abortion ban.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports the Second Amendment while endorsing policies to keep guns out of dangerous hands; explicitly backs universal background checks and red flag laws. Emphasizes responsible gun ownership and public safety.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Aaron Gies recently won the Democratic primary for New York’s 23rd Congressional District, making him the party’s nominee in the race against Republican incumbent Nick Langworthy. He is now facing scrutiny after reports said he campaigned with his brother-in-law, a registered sex offender with prior rape and sex offense convictions involving teenage students. The criticism has become part of the campaign as he moves into the general election.

docquery.fec.gov+54

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$227.2K
$170.4K
$113.6K
$56.8K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$227.2K
$17.8K
$203.2K
$11.3K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Polls
  • Endorsements