$21.1K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 24, 2026, 11:28 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94% | 53.0% | $2.33M | |
| 4% | 34.0% | $227.2K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The latest coverage is about New York’s 18th District, where Democrats are targeting Republican Mike Lawler and challenger Cait Conley. It highlights a competitive battleground, but it does not report any new developments for New York’s 23rd District. Overall, the update offers little direct signal for this market. The news is only loosely relevant to this market and does not provide direct evidence about New York’s 23rd District. It adds little new information on the party outcome there.
Republicans have won every race for U.S. Senate in Kansas for nearly a century. GOP fears that this year could be different have put the race between Republican Sen. Roger Marshall and Democrat Adam...
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The progressive congresswoman called on Mainers to send Jackson to the U.S. Senate.
Democratic incumbent Rep. Tom Suozzi's hometown police officers are abandoning him and backing Republican rival Michael LiPetri for Congress.
Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson, the Democratic nominee to be Michigan's next governor, will face her Republican rival U.S. Rep. John James.
Brazilians vote Sunday in an election that could test Trump's push to reshape Latin America.
Trump’s comments about Paxton came during the president’s second Texas visit in just weeks.
Rep. Mike Lawler is considered one of the nation’s most vulnerable Republicans in this year’s midterm elections, but he's held on before.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Sep 19, 2026 and Sep 23, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
N. LangworthyNicholas A. LangworthyA. GiesAaron GiesSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
