Prediction Edge
Republican
Aaron Guckian

Aaron Guckian

Republican candidate for Governor in Rhode Island

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Aaron Guckian is trading at 100% to win the Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleTrade association executive

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyModerate Republican

LocationRhode Island

BackgroundTrade association executive

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EducationJohnson & Wales University (MBA)

Notable personal detailsAaron C. Guckian is a Rhode Island Republican candidate for governor in the 2026 election cycle and the party’s 2022 nominee for lieutenant governor. He has worked as a trade association executive, including as executive director of the Rhode Island Dental Association, and has held local public-service roles including chair of the Warwick Sewer Authority. He has also been involved in fundraising and nonprofit work in Rhode Island.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Aaron Guckian emphasizes restoring affordability by addressing Rhode Island’s tax structure and reducing fees; he frames government inefficiency as a driver of high costs and proposes improving government efficiency and tax structure to ease burdens on the middle class. His public messaging calls for fiscal discipline and using savings from efficiency improvements to lower taxes and fees.

Healthcare

Aaron Guckian has emphasized addressing Rhode Island’s health-care problems through bipartisan problem‑solving, improving reimbursement rates for medical and dental care, attracting and retaining medical professionals, and using technology and frontline incentives to reduce costs. He has not published a detailed, specific policy platform (e.g., support for Medicare for All, a public option, or explicit market‑first reforms) in the sources located. The available statements are general and focus on administrative and workforce improvements rather than clear ideological healthcare reforms.

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Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate says abortion rights in Rhode Island are settled policy and does not seek to change existing state law protecting abortion access. He has declined to make new proposals to restrict abortion while focusing his campaign on other issues.

Climate & Energy

Advocates replacing renewable-energy mandates with what he calls “practical clean energy,” favors increased competition in energy markets and electric-grid modernization, and opposes policies that he says raise energy costs while saying wind projects already under construction should not be halted.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Aaron Guckian is in the news because Rhode Island Republicans endorsed him for governor at their state convention. A new super PAC, Real Rhode Island Families, has also formed to support him in the race, adding outside backing to his campaign. Recent reporting says he has been trailing Elaine Pelino in the GOP primary, though fundraising and the primary field remain fluid.

aaronforri.com+57

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Aaron Guckian currently averages 17.0%, ranking second in this race, 22.5 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 17.0%Position: secondMargin: -22.5 ptsLatest poll: 17.0% (Aug 3 - 11)Polls included: 2

Average recalculated from polls through Aug 3 - 11.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
17%
39.5%
Aaron Guckian
A. Guckian
Elaine Pelino
E. Pelino
Robert Raimondo
R. Raimondo
Date (Start - End)SpreadGuckianPelinoRaimondo
Polling Average
Pelino+22.5
17.0%39.5%1.0%
Embold ResearchAug 3 - 11
Pelino+20.0
17.0%37.0%–
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterJun 18 - 23
Pelino+25.0
17.0%42.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising