Prediction Edge
Democrat
Abel Chavez

Abel Chavez

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in California

Live Odds — CA-48 primary: first place

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$4.6KJUN 6, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate supports prioritizing existing infrastructure and program spending without raising taxes and proposes incentives to strengthen local businesses and remote-work opportunities. His platform emphasizes smarter spending rather than new tax increases. No campaign materials advocate for raising taxes on high earners or corporations.

Healthcare

The candidate supports Medicare for All and describes healthcare as a basic right, calling for elimination of insurance red tape, expanded Medicare drug-price negotiation authority, and holding insurers and drug companies accountable. The campaign platform includes specific reforms such as removing referral requirements for specialists and capping prescription drug prices locally.

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Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports a woman’s right to choose and opposes political interference in reproductive decisions. Backs funding family planning services and emphasizes reproductive healthcare decisions be made with doctors and loved ones, not politicians.

Climate & Energy

Supports bold climate action and is presented by environmental groups as a climate champion; campaign materials emphasize a forward-looking policy platform though the campaign website does not list detailed climate/energy policy text on the main policies index.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports universal background checks, safe storage requirements, red flag laws with due process, gun registration/serial-number verification for all sales, and accountability for illegal sales and trafficking; emphasizes protecting Second Amendment rights while enacting common-sense restrictions to keep guns out of the wrong hands.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Abel Chavez is running as a Democrat in California’s 48th Congressional District, where the top-two primary is being closely watched because Democrats are trying to win one of the two runoff spots. He has also recently laid out his policy positions, focusing on housing costs, education, immigration, climate policy, and congressional oversight. In that interview, he said he would support abolishing ICE, expanding safety-net programs, and opposing continued U.S. military action in Iran.

fec.gov+47

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

SurveyUSA
5%4%3%2%1%0%
Abel Chavez
A. Chavez
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
SurveyUSAApr 19, 2026
3.0%
Blueprint PollingFeb 4, 2026
2.7%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$472.7K
$354.5K
$236.3K
$118.2K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$472.7K
$10.8K
$461.9K
$25.7K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements