Prediction Edge
Republican
Adam Crum

Adam Crum

Republican candidate for Governor in Alaska

Live Odds — Alaska Governor winner? (Person)

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.1%chance to win

$611.2KNOV 3, 2027

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFormer Treasurer

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationAlaska

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BackgroundGovernment executive

EducationNorthwestern University (B.A., Psychology)

Notable personal detailsAdam R. Crum is a Republican candidate for governor of Alaska. He served in the Dunleavy administration as commissioner of the Alaska Department of Health and Social Services and later as commissioner of the Alaska Department of Revenue. Before entering state government, he worked in the private sector, including as an executive vice president at Northern Industrial Training. He holds degrees from Northwestern University and Johns Hopkins University.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Adam Crum served as Alaska’s Revenue Commissioner and oversaw state fiscal resources, including oil-and-gas tax administration and a controversial investment of Constitutional Budget Reserve funds; his public record emphasizes managing revenues and seeking returns on state investments but does not contain clear, specific proposals on tax-rate changes or tax-cut/raise priorities. Lawmakers and news reports have criticized the Department of Revenue under his leadership for transparency and audit cooperation around oil tax collection.

Healthcare

As Alaska DHSS Commissioner, Adam Crum supported administrative and budgetary reductions to Medicaid programs, implemented management changes including contracting private operators for the state psychiatric hospital, and defended proposals that would reduce provider payments and limit certain Medicaid services while maintaining eligibility. He also described work on legislation to revise the state’s Medicaid program and presented phased spending-reduction plans focused on administrative, regulatory, and payment changes.

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Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Adam Crum, while serving as Alaska’s health commissioner, supported temporarily postponing elective surgical abortions during the COVID-19 pandemic under state guidance and deferred timing to clinical judgment; there are no clear public statements or a sustained legislative/voting record that definitively place him for or against broad abortion access or major restrictions. The available public records show administrative actions related to procedure prioritization during a public-health emergency but do not state an overarching policy position on abortion rights or gestational limits.

Climate & Energy

Supports Alaska’s continued oil and gas production and emphasizes the role of hydrocarbons and Permanent Fund transfers in the state’s fiscal outlook, while working with the Permanent Fund Corporation on investment and governance. Public statements and official roles focus on forecasting increased North Slope production from projects like Pikka and Willow and on managing resources to support the state budget.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate supports defending gun and hunting rights and favors funding law enforcement as part of strengthening families and safety. The campaign emphasizes support for Second Amendment and hunting rights while backing increased resources for police.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 7, 2026

Adam Crum is in the news as a candidate in Alaska’s 2026 governor race. He recently announced a lieutenant governor running mate, which he needed to qualify for the August primary ballot. The race is now moving toward the Aug. 18 primary, where candidates will compete to advance to the general election, and fisheries issues like trawling and salmon bycatch are part of the campaign debate.

adamcrum.com+42

Latest Polls

Alaska Governor winner? (Person)

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Adam Crum currently averages 5.0%, ranking 7th in this race, 1.1 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 5.0%Position: 7thMargin: -1.1 ptsLatest poll: 5.0% (Oct 17 - 23)Polls included: 8

Average recalculated from polls through Oct 17 - 23.

Polling Average
15%10%5%0%
5%
12.5%
12.3%
10%
7.5%
7%
6.1%
Adam Crum
A. Crum
Bernadette Wilson
B. Wilson
Dave Bronson
D. Bronson
Nancy Dahlstrom
N. Dahlstrom
Tom Begich
T. Begich
Shelley Hughes
S. Hughes
Click Bishop
C. Bishop
Treg Taylor
T. Taylor
Edna DeVries
E. DeVries
Date (Start - End)SpreadCrumWilsonBronsonDahlstromBegichHughesBishopTaylorDeVries
Polling Average
Wilson+7.5
5.0%12.5%12.3%10.0%7.5%7.0%6.1%3.3%2.5%
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23
Wilson+5.0
5.0%10.0%9.0%6.0%5.0%3.0%3.0%2.0%
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23
Bronson+8.0
5.0%12.0%13.0%7.0%6.0%4.0%3.0%
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23
Wilson+8.0
5.0%13.0%13.0%7.0%8.0%5.0%
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23
Bronson+8.0
6.0%13.0%14.0%8.0%9.0%
Data for ProgressJul 21 - 27
Dahlstrom+8.0
5.0%13.0%13.0%8.0%8.0%3.0%3.0%
Data for ProgressJul 21 - 27
Wilson+7.0
4.0%11.0%10.0%6.0%6.0%3.0%2.0%
Data for ProgressJul 21 - 27
Wilson+9.0
5.0%14.0%14.0%8.0%8.0%4.0%
Data for ProgressJul 21 - 27
Dahlstrom+10.0
5.0%14.0%15.0%8.0%9.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising