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2026 Alaska Governor Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 Alaska Governor Election Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Election Day: Nov 3, 2026Market closes: Nov 6, 11:59pm ET (Nov 7, 4:59am UTC)Last updated: Aug 7, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC

Alaska Governor winner? (Person)

$218.9K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket

Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated Aug 7, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Poll average	Funds raised
Bernadette WilsonRepublican	28%	18.9%	—
Tom BegichDemocratic	26%	44.1%	—
Treg TaylorRepublican	19%	3.0%	—
Jonathan Kreiss-TomkinsDemocratic	14%	—	—
Dave BronsonRepublican	11%	15.4%	—
Click BishopRepublican	7%	12.9%	—
Bill WalkerIndependent	3%	—	—
Shelley HughesRepublican	1%	8.2%	—
Lesil McGuire	1%	—	—
Adam CrumRepublican	1%	5.3%	—
Nancy DahlstromRepublican	0%	11.0%	—
Matt HeilalaRepublican	0%	—	—
Mary PeltolaDemocratic	0%	—	$152.3K
Edna DeVriesRepublican	0%	2.5%	—
Matthew ClamanDemocratic	0%	—	—
Lisa MurkowskiRepublican	0%	—	$1.29M

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 7, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$218.9K

24h volume

$481

B. Wilson28%

T. Begich26%

T. Taylor19%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

August

TUE 18

Alaska 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Alaska 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Race Updates

Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.

Alaska Governor winner? (Person)

Treg Taylor is now leading with 32% odds, ahead of the prior leader by 8.0 points.

32%

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

The biggest Alaska development is the effort to remove Republican Senate primary candidate Dan Sullivan from the ballot, with officials saying he was disqualified after complaints about confusion and eligibility. The primary is set for August 18, and Democrats have recruited Mary Peltola for the race. The ballot dispute could change which candidates advance in Alaska’s Senate race and adds uncertainty around the field. It may modestly help the incumbent side if the challenger stays off the ballot.

Articles

ADAnchorage Daily News2 days ago

Opinion: The full PFD swarm is back, and it’s hungry for your vote

Candidates are promising supersized dividends, no matter the cost to schools, services and the state’s savings.

ADAnchorage Daily News10 hours ago

Saturday is the deadline to request an absentee by-mail ballot in Alaska’s primary election

Plus, a look at what’s on the ballot, how to apply to vote absentee and in-person voting options.

NNewsweek8 days ago

Republicans Handed Worrisome Signs in New North Carolina Senate Poll

The Tar Heel State's contest is critical, as it will likely help determine control of the U.S. Senate.

TDThe Daily Beast1 month ago

Voter Backlash Revealed in Key States Trump Won in 2024

Democrats are in striking distance of Republican incumbents in a series of Senate races that will be crucial in the midterms.

TDThe Daily Beast2 months ago

‘Lord of the Rings’ Movie Finds Perfect Elf Star

The Emmy nominee enters Middle-earth as a lethal new elf named Seren.

TDThe Daily Beast2 months ago

Reality TV Producer, 40, Dies Suddenly During Filming

James Barker had an “unexpected medical emergency” in Fiji.

WEWashington Examiner2 months ago

Schumer says Democrats are 'poised to take the Senate'

Schumer’s optimism comes as Democrats navigate high-profile Senate races that could determine control of the upper chamber.

TAThe Associated Press2 months ago

Alaska election officials take steps to disqualify second Dan Sullivan from Senate primary

A top Alaska elections official has threatened to disqualify from the August primary a U.S. Senate candidate who shares the same name and party affiliation as incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan.

WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit2 months ago

Alaska election official threatens to disqualify Republican who shares name with Sen. Dan Sullivan

A top Alaska elections official has threatened to disqualify from the August primary a U.S. Senate candidate who shares the same name and party affiliation as incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan.

NNNBC News2 months ago

Live updates: Trump to nominate Todd Blanche for attorney general

Get live updates and the latest news as Trump plans to nominate Todd Blanche for attorney general and the Senate begins voting on amendments to ICE and Border Patrol funding.

Latest Polls

Polling results and averages based on polls published between Oct 10, 2025 and Apr 19, 2026.

Polling Average

50%40%30%20%10%0%

44.1%

18.9%

15.4%

12.9%

11.0%

8.2%

5.3%

T. Begich

B. Wilson

D. Bronson

C. Bishop

N. Dahlstrom

S. Hughes

A. Crum

T. Taylor

E. DeVries

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Begich	Wilson	Bronson	Bishop	Dahlstrom	Hughes	Crum	Taylor	DeVries
Polling Average	Begich+25.2	44.1%	18.9%	15.4%	12.9%	11.0%	8.2%	5.3%	3.0%	2.5%
Alaska Survey ResearchApr 16 - 19	Begich+19.2	41.0%	21.8%	18.6%	18.7%	–	–	–	–	–
Alaska Survey ResearchApr 16 - 19	Begich+13.0	43.9%	30.9%	–	25.2%	–	–	–	–	–
Alaska Survey ResearchApr 16 - 19	Begich+7.8	53.9%	46.1%	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
Lake Research PartnersFeb 5 - 11	Begich+22.0	38.0%	16.0%	13.0%	8.0%	–	–	–	–	–
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23	Wilson+1.0	–	10.0%	9.0%	3.0%	6.0%	5.0%	5.0%	3.0%	2.0%
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23	Bronson+1.0	–	12.0%	13.0%	4.0%	7.0%	6.0%	5.0%	–	3.0%
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23	Wilson+0.0	–	13.0%	13.0%	5.0%	7.0%	8.0%	5.0%	–	–
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23	Bronson+1.0	–	13.0%	14.0%	–	8.0%	9.0%	6.0%	–	–
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23	Bronson+3.0	–	13.0%	16.0%	–	8.0%	10.0%	–	–	–
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23	Bronson+5.0	–	14.0%	19.0%	–	–	11.0%	–	–	–
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23	Bronson+5.0	–	18.0%	23.0%	–	–	–	–	–	–
Alaska Survey ResearchOct 10 - 14	Begich+13.6	43.7%	–	–	26.2%	30.1%	–	–	–	–

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Candidate Endorsements

Notable endorsements from elected officials, organizations and public figures.

Bernadette Wilson

Alaska Republican Party District 6

Alaska Republican Party District 6 endorsed Bernadette Wilson for governor.

2026 Alaska Governor Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Alaska Governor winner? (Person)

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

Alaska Governor winner? (Person)

Latest Election News

Opinion: The full PFD swarm is back, and it’s hungry for your vote

Saturday is the deadline to request an absentee by-mail ballot in Alaska’s primary election

Republicans Handed Worrisome Signs in New North Carolina Senate Poll

Voter Backlash Revealed in Key States Trump Won in 2024

‘Lord of the Rings’ Movie Finds Perfect Elf Star

Reality TV Producer, 40, Dies Suddenly During Filming

Schumer says Democrats are 'poised to take the Senate'

Alaska election officials take steps to disqualify second Dan Sullivan from Senate primary

Alaska election official threatens to disqualify Republican who shares name with Sen. Dan Sullivan

Live updates: Trump to nominate Todd Blanche for attorney general

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

Alaska Senate winner?

Alaska Senate winner? (Person)

Alaska Governor winner? (Party)

Alaska House winner?

Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

Alaska Governor winner? (Person)

Latest Election News

Opinion: The full PFD swarm is back, and it’s hungry for your vote

Saturday is the deadline to request an absentee by-mail ballot in Alaska’s primary election

Republicans Handed Worrisome Signs in New North Carolina Senate Poll

Voter Backlash Revealed in Key States Trump Won in 2024

‘Lord of the Rings’ Movie Finds Perfect Elf Star

Reality TV Producer, 40, Dies Suddenly During Filming

Schumer says Democrats are 'poised to take the Senate'

Alaska election officials take steps to disqualify second Dan Sullivan from Senate primary

Alaska election official threatens to disqualify Republican who shares name with Sen. Dan Sullivan

Live updates: Trump to nominate Todd Blanche for attorney general

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

Alaska Senate winner?

Alaska Senate winner? (Person)

Alaska Governor winner? (Party)

Alaska House winner?