State Lean
Lean Republican
Not a core swing state
ClosedGeneral Election
2026 Alaska Governor Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Election Day: Recorded market close:
Alaska Governor winner?
$1.1M
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Race Snapshot
Compare the candidates' saved odds and polling averages. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Poll average |
|---|---|---|
| 89% | — | |
| 13% | 22.8% | |
| 1% | 7.5% | |
| 1% | — | |
| 1% | — |
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$1.1M
24h volume
$53.1K
source: Kalshi
Politics IQ
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Alaska · Governor
Lean RepublicanOpen seatNot a core swing state
Primary System
Party primary or state-specific
No primary runoff
Election Rules
Primary Aug 18, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · National Governors Association, Gubernatorial Elections · NCSL · Vote.org · Manual editorial review
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AINews Summary
Early Alaska gubernatorial primary counts have Democrats Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and Tom Begich leading. But thousands of ballots are still outstanding, and the final November ballot could change if candidates drop out before the deadline. The lineup may not be settled until certification on Aug. 31. The race remains unsettled, with the current count favoring two Democrats but no final ballot lineup yet. That keeps uncertainty high for the governor market until certification and possible dropouts are resolved.
Articles
SSlate2 days ago
This Wasn’t Supposed to Be Senate Democrats’ Year. Here’s What Changed.
The party is in the midst of a remarkable comeback—mostly thanks to one man.
ADAnchorage Daily News22 hours ago
Alaskans are preparing for a high-stakes Election Day on Tuesday. Here’s what to know.
Polls will be open from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. on Election Day. While early results will start rolling in Tuesday night, the final outcome for more competitive races might not be known until ranked choice tabulation takes place Nov. 18.
UNU.S. News & World Report2 days ago
The Latest: Democrat Who Lost Michigan Senate Primary Backs Republican in General Election Contest
Michigan Democrat Abdul El-Sayed’s former opponent in the U.S. Senate primary, Haley Stevens, stunned party officials on Sunday by endorsing Republican Mike Rogers in the general election contest after Democratic tensions boiled over. The move came after Stevens was uninvited to a joint event the same day with El-Sayed as he campaigned for the Michigan seat. The outcome could help determine the balance of power on Capitol Hill.
CNCable News Network2 days ago
CNN’s 11 Senate seats most likely to flip, the day before the midterms
On the eve of the election, Democrats appear within striking distance of winning the Senate majority, but many seats in play are in toss-up territory in deep-red states that could still break in either party’s direction.
ADAnchorage Daily News2 days ago
Hilcorp owner donates to governor candidate Bernadette Wilson in final week of campaigning
Wilson and the other two Republicans in the race have opposed the possibility of expanding Alaska’s corporate income tax to apply to companies like Hilcorp that don’t currently pay it.
NYNew York Post3 days ago
Alaska vote could freeze count as ballots come in by plane
In a nightmare scenario, control of the US Senate could hinge on Alaska, where remote communities, late-arriving mail ballots, ranked-choice voting and a legal fight could leave the outcome unresolved for days or weeks.
NNorthjersey.Com4 days ago
Who do latest polls show winning 2026 midterms? See odds, forecasts
Who's winning the 2026 midterms? See the latest polls, odds and forecasts as Trump cancels rallies days before Election Day.
CTChicago Tribune3 days ago
Attorneys for Alaska say Trump demand to set aside ballots not possible
Alaska’s Republican-run state government on Saturday urged a federal judge to dismiss a lawsuit filed at President Donald Trump’s direction to stop the certification of a possible Democratic win in that state’s pivotal U.S. Senate race, writing that there is “no reason for this Court to entertain this meritless lawsuit any longer.”
SRSanta Rosa Press Democrat3 days ago
Attorneys for Alaska say ‘meritless’ Trump demand to set aside Senate ballots ‘not even possible’
By NICHOLAS RICCARDI and BECKY BOHRER ANCHORAGE, Alaska (AP) — Alaska’s Republican-run state government on Saturday urged a federal judge to dismiss a lawsuit filed at President Donald Trump’s direction to stop the certification of a possible Democratic win in that state’s pivotal U.S. Senate race, writing that there is “no reason for this Court […]
TWThe Washington Post3 days ago
Democratic official says she won’t vote for Iowa Senate candidate over trans ad
Iowa Democratic Senate candidate Josh Turek faces criticism after ad opposing "taxpayers paying for sex changes."
Latest Polls
Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
29.3%
22.8%
16.4%
14.7%
11.5%
8.2%
7.5%
5%
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Total RaisedCash on Hand
Jun 30, 2026$2M
$1.5M
$1M
$500K
$0
L. Murkowski
M. Peltola
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
L. MurkowskiLisa Murkowski$1.29MContrib: $1.23M
$1.52MSpent: $381.0K
$21.2KLast period: $200.8K
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
M. PeltolaMary Peltola$152.3KContrib: $76.8K
$3.5KSpent: $232.8K
$16.6KLast period: -$1.9K
TERMINATION REPORT · Feb 13, 2026
Source: FEC
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
Alaska Governor winner?
No verified final result is available for this race.
Who will win the governorship in Alaska?
Settlement pending
Who will win the governorship in Alaska?
Settlement pending
Who will win the governorship in Alaska?
Settlement pending
Who will win the governorship in Alaska?
Settlement pending
Who will win the governorship in Alaska?
Settlement pending
Who will win the governorship in Alaska?
Settlement pending
Who will win the governorship in Alaska?
Settlement pending
Who will win the governorship in Alaska?
Settlement pending
Who will win the governorship in Alaska?
Settlement pending
Who will win the governorship in Alaska?
Settlement pending
Who will win the governorship in Alaska?
Settlement pending
Who will win the governorship in Alaska?
Settlement pending
Who will win the governorship in Alaska?
Settlement pending
Who will win the governorship in Alaska?
Settlement pending
Who will win the governorship in Alaska?
Settlement pending
Who will win the governorship in Alaska?
Settlement pending