Prediction Edge
DemocratIncumbent
Adelita Grijalva

Adelita Grijalva

Incumbent Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Arizona

Live Odds — AZ-07 House winner?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

95.4%chance to win

$816.00NOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age55 years old (Oct 30, 1970)

GenderFemale

Show more

LocationArizona

BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationPueblo High School (Tucson, Arizona), 1989

Notable personal detailsAdelita S. Grijalva is an American politician and Democrat serving as the U.S. representative for Arizona's 7th congressional district (sworn in 2025). A Tucson native, she graduated from Pueblo High School and earned a B.A. from the University of Arizona. She worked as non-profit staff, including more than 25 years with Pima County Teen Court, and previously served on the Tucson Unified School District Governing Board and the Pima County Board of Supervisors.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports protecting social programs and opposes large tax cuts for the wealthy and corporations that would reduce funding for healthcare, education, and anti-poverty programs. Has voted against or publicly opposed appropriations and budget measures she says fund enforcement priorities while cutting supports for working families. Advocates reallocating federal resources toward investments in communities, workers, and services rather than tax giveaways to billionaires.

Healthcare

Supports major public expansion of health care access and endorses Medicare for All; describes health care as a human right and pledges to protect and strengthen Medicare and Medicaid. Backed by progressive organizations and labor groups that highlight her commitment to universal coverage and defending public programs.

Show more

Immigration & Border

Supports limiting and reining in federal immigration enforcement, opposes aggressive ICE and Border Patrol raids on humanitarian sites and communities, and has voted against DHS/ICE funding while calling for stronger oversight and protections for migrants and humanitarian aid. Advocates for accountability, constitutional protections, and reduced militarization of immigration enforcement.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports restoring and protecting nationwide access to abortion and expanding reproductive health care, including sponsoring measures to restore abortion access and opposing restrictions that limit access to medication abortion; has been endorsed by reproductive-rights advocacy groups for this work.

Climate & Energy

Supports strong climate protections, protection of water resources like the Colorado River, and progressive environmental justice policies; advocates federal action to address climate impacts and advance renewable/green infrastructure at the local level.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate supports gun violence prevention measures and community-focused gun safety efforts, including local gun safety town halls, distributing gun locks, and legislation to allow local firearm regulations and require reporting when firearms are lost or stolen. She has publicly called for recommitting to ending gun violence and has been endorsed by gun violence-prevention organizations.

Endorsements

7
AZ-07 House winner?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.3M
$1.7M
$1.1M
$571.4K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$2.3M
$428.0K
$1.9M
$97.8K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • News
  • Polls