$817.00
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 10, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 95% | $2.29M | |
| 7% | $224.4K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Republicans are trying to build turnout and fundraising with a Trump-led convention in Dallas ahead of the 2026 midterms. But recent Arizona polling still points to Republican headwinds, with Trump’s unfavorable ratings cited as a drag. The latest news is mixed for GOP prospects overall. The Dallas convention may modestly help Republican enthusiasm, but the Arizona polling suggests broader GOP headwinds remain. Overall, the news is mixed and does not clearly shift this district-specific market.
Only about 50 of the 435 races for the House of Representatives are expected to be competitive on the November 3 U.S. midterm ballot, but they could decide whether Democrats gain the three seats needed to reclaim control of the chamber from Republicans.
Key races to watch include the face off between Sen. Ed Markey and Rep. Seth Moulton for the Democrate Senate nomination and what will happen with Moulton's empty seat.
Newsweek analyzed polling, election data and insights from Republican and Democratic strategists to rank key House battlegrounds.
Democrats are within striking distance in districts the president won by double digits.
The two-day event at the American Airlines Center in Dallas will feature Republican candidates in some of the most competitive races across the U.S.
The GOP gubernatorial nominee trails Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs in latest polling.
Retiring Rep. Don Bacon’s open seat pits fellow Republican and Omaha City Councilmember Brinker Harding against Democratic activist Denise Powell.
The latest primary elections in the 2026 cycle — Michigan, Missouri, and Kansas — featured nationally-visible races and confirmed key trends.
One year after passing the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, it no longer seems like the easy win for Republicans to run on in November.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
A. GrijalvaAdelita Grijalva
D. Sr.Daniel Francis Butierez Sr.Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
