Prediction Edge
Republican
Adriel Lam

Overview

Current roleRetired military

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationHawaii

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BackgroundRetired military

Notable personal detailsAdriel C. Lam is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in Hawaii’s 1st Congressional District in the 2026 cycle. He previously ran as a Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Hawaii in 2024 and was a Republican candidate in Hawaii State Senate District 24 in 2022. He has described his occupation as retired military and is associated with a campaign committee named “LAM4ALOHA - Adriel for Congress.”

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate supports easing the tax burden so residents can keep and spend more of their earnings and has endorsed temporarily lowering state gasoline taxes as relief; he prioritizes reduced taxation and incentives over increased centralized tax collection. His stated spending priorities focus on infrastructure and basic services while enabling community partnerships to deliver social services.

Healthcare

The candidate says Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid are not financially sound and argues these safety-net programs should be returned to individuals or private/collective entities to manage and invest for their futures, indicating support for reducing the federal role in these programs and favoring privatization/individual-centered approaches.

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Climate & Energy

Expresses skepticism about alarmist framing of climate change and emphasizes adaptation, innovation, and education rather than rushing into sweeping policy responses. Advises caution about following trends or lobbying campaigns on climate policy and stresses distinguishing between science and "junk science."

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate emphasizes firearms education and individual responsibility rather than new restrictions and has publicly opposed local measures that would ban or further restrict carrying firearms in public/sensitive places.

Latest Insights

HI-01 Republican nominee?

5d

Adriel Lam's odds are now 65%, past the previous high of 0%.

65%65%

HI-01 Republican nominee?

5d

Adriel Lam is now leading with 70% odds, ahead of the prior leader by 42.0 points.

70%

HI-01 Republican nominee?

5d

This is a fresh high for Adriel Lam in the HI-01 Republican nominee race, topping the previous extreme of 0%.

70%70%

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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