Prediction Edge
Democrat
Aisha Wahab

Aisha Wahab

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in California

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Aisha Wahab is trading at 88% to win the CA-14 special election winner on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFormer Council Member

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age39 years old (Jan 11, 1987)

GenderFemale

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LocationCalifornia

BackgroundPolitician

EducationSan Jose State University — B.A., Political Science

Notable personal detailsAisha Wahab is an American politician serving in the California State Senate representing District 10 since December 5, 2022, and previously served on the Hayward City Council from 2018 to 2022. She has worked in nonprofits, community organizing, and technology, and has held local public-service roles including Alameda County Human Relations Commission chair and an Alameda County Public Health Commissioner. Wahab earned a B.A. from San Jose State University, an MBA from California State University, East Bay, and a doctorate in social work from the University of Southern California.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Public materials show a mix of positions: campaign material and voter statements endorse small-business tax relief while voting records and endorsements emphasize raising wages and affordable-housing funding. Available sources do not present a single consistent tax philosophy (e.g., across wealth/corporate taxation or overall tax increases vs. cuts).

Healthcare

Supports universal health care and has advocated for policies aligned with single‑payer/Medicare for All. As a state senator she has sponsored or backed measures to cap insulin costs and protect Medi‑Cal while emphasizing healthcare as a human right.

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Immigration & Border

Supports protecting and assisting immigrants and refugees, including funding legal and social services for immigrant children and expressing concern about restrictive travel/immigration bans. Emphasizes humanitarian approaches while acknowledging immigration-related security concerns.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports broad access to abortion and policies that protect and expand reproductive healthcare access in California, including measures to shield providers and patients from out-of-state restrictions. Has received endorsements from reproductive-rights organizations and has acted in support of state legislation strengthening abortion access and protections.

Climate & Energy

Supports California climate goals and has voted for and sponsored legislation to advance clean energy, electrification, public transit funding, and other climate-related measures. Has a strong environmental voting record per California environmental groups and has promoted transit and emissions-reduction policies in the State Senate.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate authored and introduced SJR 7, the "Right to Safety" resolution, which calls for universal background checks, a federal minimum purchase age of 21, a waiting period for all gun purchases, and barring civilian purchase of assault weapons; she has sponsored and passed public-safety legislation as Chair of the Senate Public Safety Committee.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Aisha Wahab is in the news for advancing in California's 14th Congressional District special election to fill the House seat left vacant by Eric Swalwell. Early results showed her leading the crowded primary, and she also finished in the top two for the separate regular primary for the full term. The special election will decide who serves the rest of the current term, with a runoff possible if no one wins outright.

sd10.senate.ca.gov+57

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

David Binder Research
40%30%20%10%0%
29%
Aisha Wahab
A. Wahab
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
David Binder ResearchApr 4, 2026
29.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

2

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Fundraising