$17.2K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 19, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 89% | — | |
| 18% | $1.53M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The biggest recent election-related development is a federal judge blocking a Trump administration mail-ballot rule tied to voter-roll sharing. Broader coverage also points to ongoing legal fights over voting rules ahead of the midterms. None of the summaries report a direct new development in California’s 14th District. The court ruling could slightly reduce uncertainty around mail voting, but it does not directly change this district’s race. Overall, the impact on this market looks limited and unclear.
The plaintiffs have framed the case as a major effort to address what they say are harmful effects of addictive products designed to capture users' attention by, among other tactics, collecting...
Two candidates will face off Tuesday in a special election in Alameda County to fill the congressional seat vacated by Eric Swalwell.
Voters cast ballots Tuesday in the race to fill the remainder of former Rep. Eric Swalwell's term in Congress.
Welcome to From the Politics Desk, a daily newsletter that brings you the NBC News Politics team’s latest reporting and analysis from the White House, Capitol
Will moderates show up in sufficient numbers to blunt the far-left’s rise?
Voters in the Alabama, Florida, and Wyoming primary are deciding which candidates to advance to the general election in races for governor, U.S. Senate, and U.S. House. California is holding a special election to fill U.S. Rep. Eric Swalwell's seat after his resignation. In an open contest to replace term-limited Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, Rep. Byron Donalds won the nomination on the Republican side and former Rep. David Jolly won the Democratic nomination. Alaska voters are narrowing down candidates for a competitive U.S. Senate seat. Wyoming's primary features open-seat races after two prominent Republican officials announced their retirements. Alaska uses ranked choice voting, which supporters say encourages more moderate candidates.
By JILL COLVIN and MIKE CATALINI As a long and contentious primary season nears its end, attention is turning to Florida, Wyoming, California and Alaska, where primaries Tuesday will highlight Republican-led redistricting efforts that have scrambled congressional maps and new battles between the Democratic establishment and progressive left. Also in the mix are a handful […]
Prop. 40 could also reverberate nationally, but its approval remains uncertain as the 2026 campaign season narrows.
With two Democrats competing on the ballot, the seat in California’s 14th Congressional District is guaranteed to remain under Democratic control and further narrow an already fragile Republican majority in the chamber.
Four months after Democratic congressman Eric Swalwell resigned amid sexual assault allegations that torpedoed his campaign for California governor, his former Bay Area constituents will pick a replacement Tuesday to serve out the rest of his term.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
M. HernandezMelissa HernandezSource: FEC
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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
