Prediction Edge
Democrat
Al Lawson

Al Lawson

Democratic candidate for Mayor in Florida

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Al Lawson is trading at 1% to win the Tallahassee Mayoral Election on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFormer U.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age77 years old (Sep 23, 1948)

GenderMale

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LocationFlorida

BackgroundPolitician

EducationFlorida A&M University — B.S., 1970

Notable personal detailsAlfred James Lawson Jr. is an American politician who served as the U.S. representative for Florida's 5th Congressional District from 2017 to 2023. He previously served in the Florida House of Representatives (1982–2000) and the Florida Senate (2000–2010), including as Senate Minority Leader (2008–2010). Lawson earned a B.S. from Florida A&M University (1970) and an M.S.P.A. from Florida State University (1973), and has worked as an insurance agent and business owner.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Healthcare

Al Lawson supports protecting the Affordable Care Act and expanding access to health care, including improving access to quality care and increased funding for mental health. He has opposed repealing the ACA and backed federal measures to direct COVID‑relief and other funding to support health services.

Immigration & Border

Has supported expanded legal pathways for immigrants (including votes or statements favoring pathways to citizenship and increases in visa caps) while also expressing support for some stricter border enforcement measures in other statements. Public record therefore contains both pro-regularization and enforcement-leaning signals on immigration.

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Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports protecting and expanding abortion access at the federal level, including votes for legislation to codify Roe-era protections and preserve interstate access to abortion. Has voted in favor of the Women’s Health Protection Act / related measures and the Ensuring Access to Abortion Act.

Climate & Energy

Al Lawson has a pro-environment record that includes sponsoring land-preservation legislation, opposing near- and offshore drilling, and serving on a state Energy Action Team to develop a long-term climate and energy plan. As a U.S. Representative he has supported clean energy investments and climate resilience measures and received high pro-environment scores from environmental groups. His record indicates support for renewable energy and conservation while accepting pragmatic, incremental policy approaches rather than radical fossil-fuel phase-out proposals.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports expanded background checks and some firearm restrictions while maintaining respect for lawful gun ownership. Has expressed frustration with the influence of the gun lobby, supports restrictions on assault weapons, voted for bipartisan background-check legislation, and voted against concealed-carry reciprocity and other measures seen as expanding gun access.

Endorsements

1
Tallahassee Mayoral Election

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$829.3K
$622.0K
$414.7K
$207.3K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$829.3K
$50.4K
$946.4K
$39.4K

Cycle 2024

$871.95
$32.7K
$21.5K
$897.26

Cycle 2026

$0.00
$29.6K
$3.1K
$260.90

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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