$26.7K
NOV 4, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 3, 2026, 6:58 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds |
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Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The main Tallahassee update is that the city’s mayoral contest is a non-partisan race with four named candidates. If no one clears 50% in the primary, the race moves to a runoff. Broader Florida election news centers on Byron Donalds’ gubernatorial win, but that is separate from this market. The Tallahassee race update is still early and does not point to a clear frontrunner. The broader Florida news is mostly unrelated to this market, so it likely has little direct effect.
Florida voters face a pivotal 2026 election featuring an open governor's race, a key Senate contest, and tax reform.
By John Haughey Contributing Writer Three-term U.S. House Rep. Byron Donalds, R-Fla., and Republican-turned-Democrat David Jolly will face off in Florida’s governor election in November after winning their Tuesday primaries. Donalds, […]
Can anything stop Byron Donalds? Far ahead in fund-raising and polling, the Republican congressman is well on his way to winning his party’s August nomination for governor.
Black Republican Byron Donalds could peel away a sizable portion of the Democratic Party's most reliable base -- Black voters.
Republican hopes for Florida were much higher at the start of a tit-for-tat cycle that saw Republican- and Democratic-led states across the country engage in mid-decade redistricting.
Democrats David Jolly and Angie Nixon may have been preaching to the faithful, but the midterm energy at a Boynton Beach Black church was undeniable.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
A. LawsonAl LawsonSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
