





Republican candidate for U.S. House in Texas
TX-09 Republican nominee?
Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Alexandra del Moral Mealer is trading at 100% to win the TX-09 Republican nominee? on prediction markets.
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current rolePolitical candidate
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
GenderFemale
LocationTexas
BackgroundPolitical candidate
EducationUnited States Military Academy at West Point
Notable personal detailsAlexandra del Moral Mealer is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in Texas’ 9th Congressional District. She previously ran for Harris County Judge in 2022 and later joined the Metropolitan Transit Authority of Harris County (METRO) Board of Directors in March 2024. She is a U.S. Military Academy at West Point graduate and Army combat veteran, and has worked as a small business owner.
Supports pro-business, pro-industry economic policies and aligns with Republican/Trump economic priorities; emphasizes protecting and growing regional industry and infrastructure. Campaign materials and reporting describe priorities that favor supporting industry and unleashing private-sector economic growth rather than proposing new progressive tax increases. She has proposed using county revenues to fund expanded law enforcement staffing, indicating willingness to increase local spending on public safety within a pro-business framework.
The candidate has not taken a clear, public position supporting or opposing statewide abortion restrictions; she has declined to stake out a detailed stance on Texas’ abortion ban while saying the county judge has limited authority over state abortion law and opposing use of county funds to transport people out of state for abortions. Campaign opponents have accused her of supporting the state ban, but those claims were not substantiated by a direct statement of support from the candidate.
Supports protecting and promoting the petrochemical and energy industries as economic engines for Texas and emphasizes investing in infrastructure to sustain American industrial and technological leadership. No public campaign materials located that endorse aggressive emissions targets, Green New Deal–style legislation, or carbon-pricing measures. Policy language focuses on energy/industrial support, infrastructure, and economic priorities rather than regulatory climate action.
Alexandra del Moral Mealer won the Republican runoff in Texas’s newly redrawn 9th Congressional District, making her the GOP nominee for the seat. The district is expected to remain a strong Republican hold in the general election. Later coverage of Texas House races noted TX-34 as another targeted seat, but did not report any new development involving Mealer herself.
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Alexandra del Moral Mealer currently averages 24.5%, ranking second in this race, 3.8 points behind the next candidate.
Average recalculated from polls through Feb 9 - 11.





Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
2026
LatestCycle 2026
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.