$63.7K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 25, 2026, 12:28 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76% | 46.5% | $2.08M | |
| 24% | 40.5% | $40.0K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Ken Paxton secured the Texas Republican Senate nomination by beating John Cornyn in the runoff. Trump also urged support for Paxton at a Dallas GOP convention. The Texas Senate race is now set for November against Democrat James Talarico. Paxton’s runoff win gives Republicans a clear nominee, which may reduce uncertainty in the Texas Senate race. Trump’s backing could strengthen GOP momentum, though the broader general-election effect is still unclear.
Freshman Rep. Christian Menefee defeated longtime Rep. Al Green in the Democratic primary runoff for Texas’ 18th Congressional District, NBC News projects, after a rare incumbent-on-incumbent matchup sparked by Republican-led redistricting efforts.
President Donald Trump's endorsements loom large over Tuesday's runoff elections in Texas with longtime Sen. John Cornyn facing Trump-pick Ken Paxton.
Voters across the country will decide which party controls the House as a handful of closely watched races shape the 2026 midterm elections.
With less than five weeks to go until the midterm elections, Republicans face historical headwinds as the party in power and must also contend with high gas prices amid the ongoing Iran war.
A new Cook Political Report analysis moved three Texas U.S. House races toward Democrats as the GOP fights to keep its majority. See where each stands.
One of the biggest shifts in the Texas political landscape came in the voters' decision to select Attorney General Ken Paxton as the Republican nominee for U.S. Senate, ousting four-term incumbent John Cornyn.
All eyes will be on the Republican Senate runoff between the incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton. But the runoffs will feature other important contests.
Tuesday’s primary runoffs in Texas will put President Donald Trump’s endorsement to the test again — the latest step in a mission to punish some incumbent Republicans Trump has deemed insufficiently loyal
California is one of the most heavily Democratic states in the country. But in a U.S. House district southeast of Los Angeles, the campaign is being shaped by a different dynamic: Two sitting GOP lawmakers are duking it out over who is most loyal to Trump.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Sep 18, 2026 and Oct 7, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
A. MealerAlexandra del Moral MealerL. GutierrezLeticia GutierrezSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
