Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
47%
42.7%
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
TX-09 House winner?
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Republican
Alexandra del Moral Mealer
Republican candidate for U.S. House in Texas
$109.1K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Saved odds — TX-09 House winner?
Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
74%chance to win
$109.1KNOV 7, 2026Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current rolePolitical candidate
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
GenderFemale
LocationTexas
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BackgroundPolitical candidate
EducationUnited States Military Academy at West Point
Notable personal detailsAlexandra del Moral Mealer is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in Texas’ 9th Congressional District. She previously ran for Harris County Judge in 2022 and later joined the Metropolitan Transit Authority of Harris County (METRO) Board of Directors in March 2024. She is a U.S. Military Academy at West Point graduate and Army combat veteran, and has worked as a small business owner.
SourcesShowHide
fec.govalexandramealer.comcontent.govdelivery.comlinkedin.comwikidata.orgtransparencyusa.orgtexasstandard.orghoustonchronicle.comabc17news.comthegatewaypundit.compolitica.expansion.mxharriscountygop.comchron.comtexasscorecard.comcommunityimpact.comfiles.harrisvotes.comarxiv.orgbarw.orgreddit.comdemocracydocket.comhoustonpublicmedia.orgfox26houston.comivoterguide.comhoustondaily.comexpressnews.comm.stylemagazine.comkatychristianmagazine.comthetexan.newswashingtonreporter.newsreduceflooding.comfacebook.comrollcall.comthecentersquare.comnytimes.cominstagram.commayesmiddleton.comnews.ballotpedia.orgballotready.orgdocquery.fec.govvotesmart.orgjustfacts.votesmart.orgen.wikipedia.orgdeveloper.ballotpedia.org
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Supports pro-business, pro-industry economic policies and aligns with Republican/Trump economic priorities; emphasizes protecting and growing regional industry and infrastructure. Campaign materials and reporting describe priorities that favor supporting industry and unleashing private-sector economic growth rather than proposing new progressive tax increases. She has proposed using county revenues to fund expanded law enforcement staffing, indicating willingness to increase local spending on public safety within a pro-business framework.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
The candidate has not taken a clear, public position supporting or opposing statewide abortion restrictions; she has declined to stake out a detailed stance on Texas’ abortion ban while saying the county judge has limited authority over state abortion law and opposing use of county funds to transport people out of state for abortions. Campaign opponents have accused her of supporting the state ban, but those claims were not substantiated by a direct statement of support from the candidate.
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Climate & Energy
Supports protecting and promoting the petrochemical and energy industries as economic engines for Texas and emphasizes investing in infrastructure to sustain American industrial and technological leadership. No public campaign materials located that endorse aggressive emissions targets, Green New Deal–style legislation, or carbon-pricing measures. Policy language focuses on energy/industrial support, infrastructure, and economic priorities rather than regulatory climate action.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026
Alexandra del Moral Mealer won the Republican runoff in Texas’s newly redrawn 9th Congressional District, making her the GOP nominee for the seat. The district is expected to remain a strong Republican hold in the general election. Later coverage of Texas House races noted TX-34 as another targeted seat, but did not report any new development involving Mealer herself.
fec.gov+42
Articles
NNewsmax5 months ago
Trump-Backed Mealer Wins Texas GOP Runoff in Redrawn Houston-Area District
Positive
UTUSA TODAY5 months ago
Trump to rally in Texas for endorsed candidate Ken Paxton
Neutral
NNNBC News8 months ago
Incumbents are at risk as the first primaries of the midterm elections get underway
Neutral
TBThe Boston Globe6 months ago
Alabama and Tennessee move to draw new congressional districts in wake of Supreme Court ruling
Neutral
Latest Polls
TX-09 House winner?
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Alexandra del Moral Mealer currently averages 47.0%, ranking first in this race, 4.3 points ahead of the nearest opponent.
Polling average: 47.0%Position: firstMargin: +4.3 ptsLatest poll: 48.0% (Oct 20 - 22)Polls included: 3
Average recalculated from polls through Oct 20 - 22.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$2.1M
$1.6M
$1.0M
$520.1K
$0
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2026
$2.1M
$362.0K
$1.7M
$95.5K
Source: FEC
Not available in this saved edition
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- Endorsements