Prediction Edge
High Impact4d
Amish Shah

Amish Shah

62%

Amish Shah is now at 62%, ahead by 13.0 points after trailing earlier.

Democrat
Amish Shah

Overview

Current roleFormer State Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

GenderMale

LocationArizona

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BackgroundEmergency physician

EducationNorthwestern University — B.A., Economics

Notable personal detailsAmish Shah is an emergency medicine physician and Democratic politician in Arizona. He served in the Arizona House of Representatives (District 24 from 2019–2023 and District 5 from 2023 until resigning in February 2024 to run for Congress). He was the Democratic nominee for Arizona's 1st Congressional District in 2024 and is running again for the seat in 2026.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The campaign emphasizes lowering costs for Arizonans, rolling back tariffs, and reducing taxes for middle‑class families. It cites Shah’s record of cutting taxes for middle‑class families in the Arizona State House and pledges to continue policies aimed at lowering costs rather than major tax increases or wealth redistribution.

Healthcare

Amish Shah has publicly endorsed universal single-payer healthcare/Medicare for All and has described healthcare as a right, while also discussing tradeoffs of different systems as a practicing physician. His past public remarks and campaign materials emphasize expanding access to affordable care.

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Immigration & Border

Supports increased funding and enforcement to secure the border, emphasizing stopping fentanyl trafficking and working across party lines to fund border security. Focus is on enforcement-oriented measures (funding, tougher fentanyl penalties) rather than expanded legal pathways or asylum protections.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports abortion access and reproductive rights, has a pro-choice voting record, and led efforts to protect access to abortion including work to protect access to the abortion pill and increase contraception access.

Climate & Energy

Supports climate action and has a record of voting and ratings consistent with pro-environment policies and clean-energy priorities while serving in the Arizona legislature. Receives positive ratings from environmental/climate organizations, and has supported water and environmental-related legislation. Campaign site emphasizes public-interest policy priorities but does not have a dedicated climate page.

Public Safety & Guns

Amish Shah has questioned giving special tax exemptions to firearm sales and emphasizes public safety in his campaign messaging, but there is no clear, comprehensive statement or legislative record found that details his positions on assault weapons bans, universal background checks, red flag laws, or other specific gun‑policy proposals. Public materials emphasize his work on public safety and border/fentanyl enforcement rather than a detailed firearms policy platform.

Latest Insights

AZ-01 Democratic nominee?

4dHigh Impact

Amish Shah is now at 62%, ahead by 13.0 points after trailing earlier.

62%

AZ-01 Democratic nominee?

1d

Shah’s contract has bounced back to 54% after a sharp slide, keeping the AZ-01 primary tightly contested as fresh local coverage continues to frame the race around Shah vs. Galán-Woods ahead of the July 21 vote.

54%19%

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 4, 2026

Amish Shah is in the news because the Democratic primary for Arizona’s 1st Congressional District is still contested, with him facing Marlene Galán-Woods. In a recent debate, Shah criticized the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s endorsement of Galán-Woods and argued about who is best positioned to win the seat. The primary is set for July 21, with early voting starting June 24.

fec.gov+52

Polls

AZ-01 Democratic nominee?
Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
32.5%
11%
Amish Shah
A. Shah
Marlene Galán-Woods
M. Galán-Woods
Mark Robert Gordon
M. Gordon
Jonathan Treble
J. Treble
Rick McCartney
R. McCartney
Date (Start - End)SpreadShahGalán-WoodsGordonTrebleMcCartney
Polling Average
Shah+21.5
32.5%11.0%1.8%1.5%1.5%
HighGroundFeb 21 - 23
Shah+21.5
32.5%11.0%1.8%1.5%1.5%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

AZ-01 Democratic nominee?

Endorsers of Amish Shah for AZ-01 Democratic nominee?

Tammy Caputi

Public figure

Tammy Caputi endorsed Amish Shah.

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Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$6.3M
$4.8M
$3.2M
$1.6M
$0

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2024

$6.3M
$91.8K
$6.3M
$260.5K

Cycle 2026

$1.3M
$707.1K
$675.2K
$45.0K

Source: FEC