Florida Democratic Senate nominee?
3hNixon’s upset primary win keeps her market alive after a volatile runup and gives traders a clear new nominee to price against Vindman in the Florida Senate race.

Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Florida
Florida Democratic Senate nominee?
Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Angie Nixon is trading at 100% to win the Florida Democratic Senate nominee? on prediction markets.
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleState Representative
PartyDemocratic
Political ideologyProgressive Democrat
GenderFemale
LocationFlorida
BackgroundPolitician
Notable personal detailsAngela "Angie" Nixon is a Democratic member of the Florida House of Representatives representing District 13. She has described her background as a union organizer and mother from Jacksonville, Florida, and has served in the Florida Legislature since 2020. She launched a campaign for the Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate in 2026.
Supports greater corporate tax accountability and transparency and pushes policies to protect working families from added regressive taxes while opposing taxes on medical marijuana sales. Emphasizes job training, support for small businesses, and measures intended to ensure corporations pay their fair share to fund services for working people.
Supports expanding Medicaid under the Affordable Care Act and pursuing policies to lower health-care costs and protect women’s health care freedom. Emphasizes increasing access to wellness services for underserved communities.
Supports humanitarian treatment of migrants, opposes expansion of large immigration detention facilities in Florida, and has sponsored state-level measures to increase transparency around immigration enforcement. Advocates rolling back recent strict state immigration laws and opposed construction of ICE detention centers as inhumane.
Supports protecting and expanding access to abortion and reproductive health care, opposes restrictive measures such as six-week/heartbeat bans, and characterizes loss of legal abortion as a threat to Black maternal health and bodily autonomy. Advocates legislative and advocacy efforts to defend the right to choose and to treat abortion access as health-care and racial-equity issue.
Supports using scientific evidence on climate change to guide policy, mitigation of contaminated land, land conservation, and community resilience measures; favors investments in environmental justice and access to healthy food in impacted communities. Positions emphasize climate mitigation and conservation rather than phasing out fossil fuels or Green New Deal–style sweeping fossil-fuel bans.
Opposes permitless/’constitutional carry’ and expresses support for maintaining training, background checks, and other firearm-safety measures; has voted for at least some gun-safety related measures (e.g., storage requirements).
Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.
Nixon’s upset primary win keeps her market alive after a volatile runup and gives traders a clear new nominee to price against Vindman in the Florida Senate race.
Angie Nixon is running in Florida’s 2026 Democratic U.S. Senate primary, where she is competing with Alex Vindman for the nomination. Recent coverage says Vindman is favored and has raised far more money, making Nixon the underdog heading into the Aug. 18 primary. The winner will face Republican Sen. Ashley Moody in the general election.
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Angie Nixon currently averages 5.0%, ranking 5th in this race, 3.5 points behind the next candidate.
Average recalculated from polls through May 5 - 7.







Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
2026
LatestCycle 2026
Source: FEC