Prediction Edge
Democrat
Angie Nixon

Angie Nixon

Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Florida

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Angie Nixon is trading at 100% to win the Florida Democratic Senate nominee? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports greater corporate tax accountability and transparency and pushes policies to protect working families from added regressive taxes while opposing taxes on medical marijuana sales. Emphasizes job training, support for small businesses, and measures intended to ensure corporations pay their fair share to fund services for working people.

Healthcare

Supports expanding Medicaid under the Affordable Care Act and pursuing policies to lower health-care costs and protect women’s health care freedom. Emphasizes increasing access to wellness services for underserved communities.

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Immigration & Border

Supports humanitarian treatment of migrants, opposes expansion of large immigration detention facilities in Florida, and has sponsored state-level measures to increase transparency around immigration enforcement. Advocates rolling back recent strict state immigration laws and opposed construction of ICE detention centers as inhumane.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports protecting and expanding access to abortion and reproductive health care, opposes restrictive measures such as six-week/heartbeat bans, and characterizes loss of legal abortion as a threat to Black maternal health and bodily autonomy. Advocates legislative and advocacy efforts to defend the right to choose and to treat abortion access as health-care and racial-equity issue.

Climate & Energy

Supports using scientific evidence on climate change to guide policy, mitigation of contaminated land, land conservation, and community resilience measures; favors investments in environmental justice and access to healthy food in impacted communities. Positions emphasize climate mitigation and conservation rather than phasing out fossil fuels or Green New Deal–style sweeping fossil-fuel bans.

Public Safety & Guns

Opposes permitless/’constitutional carry’ and expresses support for maintaining training, background checks, and other firearm-safety measures; has voted for at least some gun-safety related measures (e.g., storage requirements).

Latest Candidate Updates

Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.

Florida Democratic Senate nominee?

3h

Nixon’s upset primary win keeps her market alive after a volatile runup and gives traders a clear new nominee to price against Vindman in the Florida Senate race.

6%5%

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 18, 2026

Angie Nixon is running in Florida’s 2026 Democratic U.S. Senate primary, where she is competing with Alex Vindman for the nomination. Recent coverage says Vindman is favored and has raised far more money, making Nixon the underdog heading into the Aug. 18 primary. The winner will face Republican Sen. Ashley Moody in the general election.

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Latest Polls

Florida Democratic Governor nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Angie Nixon currently averages 5.0%, ranking 5th in this race, 3.5 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 5.0%Position: 5thMargin: -3.5 ptsLatest poll: 6.0% (May 5 - 7)Polls included: 2

Average recalculated from polls through May 5 - 7.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
5%
41%
23.5%
9%
8.5%
Angie Nixon
A. Nixon
Jason Pizzo
J. Pizzo
Daniella Levine Cava
D. Cava
Gwen Graham
G. Graham
David Jolly
D. Jolly
Fentrice Driskell
F. Driskell
Shevrin Jones
S. Jones
Date (Start - End)SpreadNixonPizzoCavaGrahamJollyDriskellJones
Polling Average
Pizzo+36.0
5.0%41.0%23.5%9.0%8.5%4.0%3.0%
Targoz Market ResearchMay 5 - 7
Cava+26.0
6.0%32.0%13.0%10.0%7.0%4.0%
Targoz Market ResearchApr 15 - 22
Pizzo+37.0
4.0%41.0%15.0%5.0%7.0%1.0%2.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

15
Florida Democratic Senate nominee?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$974.8K
$731.1K
$487.4K
$243.7K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$974.8K
$265.0K
$709.9K
$37.4K

Source: FEC