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2026 Florida Democratic Governor Primary Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 Florida Democratic Governor Primary Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Primary Day: Aug 18, 2026Market closes: Aug 25, 8:00am ET (Aug 25, 12:00pm UTC)

Florida Democratic Governor nominee?

$40.0K

AUG 18, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket

Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated Aug 17, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Poll average	Funds raised
David Jolly	99%	26.3%	—
Gwen Graham	1%	9.0%	—
Fentrice Driskell	1%	4.0%	—
Shevrin Jones	1%	3.0%	$283.7K
Jason Pizzo	1%	41.0%	—
Daniella Levine Cava	1%	23.5%	—
Angie Nixon	1%	5.0%	$974.8K
Dotie Joseph	1%	6.0%	—

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 17, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$40.0K

24h volume

$695

D. Jolly99%

G. Graham1%

F. Driskell1%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

August

TUE 18

Florida 2026 primary

August

TUE 25

Prediction market closes

November

TUE 3

Florida 2026 general election

Latest Race Updates

Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.

Florida Democratic Governor nominee?

Jerry Demings has raised $81,084,464 this cycle, but David Jolly leads the latest odds for the Florida Democratic Governor nominee race.

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

A new poll shows David Jolly ahead of Byron Donalds in a hypothetical general election matchup. But Donalds remains the clear Republican frontrunner, leading the GOP field in fundraising and polling before the August primary. A recent Florida donation also added to his campaign resources. The Jolly poll may modestly improve Democratic nominee sentiment, but Donalds still looks like the Republican frontrunner. Overall, the market remains driven by Donalds’ strong primary position and the open-seat setup.

Articles

HHerald-Tribune3 days ago

Dotie Joseph seeks Florida governor seat

With many voters undecided, State Rep. Dotie Joseph outlines her plan to make Florida more affordable for everyone.

TTCPalm2 days ago

Trump endorsements for Florida Primary Election Day 2026

When is Primary Election Day in Florida? Polls are open from 7 am to 7 pm Tuesday, Aug. 18, 2026. See which candidates were endorsed by Trump.

TDTallahassee Democrat3 days ago

Florida ballot for Republican governor may be confusing to some voters

The Florida primary ballot lists 'Governor/Lt. Governor' together, but most candidates haven’t named a running mate. Mark only one oval for governor.

WWIS107 hours ago

Week Ahead in Washington: August 16

Tuesday marks another primary election day, and IndyCar takes to the streets of the Nation’s Capital. This is your Week Ahead in Washington for the week of August 16.

TTCPalm2 months ago

Ahead in polls and money, what could stop Byron Donalds?

Can anything stop Byron Donalds? Far ahead in fund-raising and polling, the Republican congressman is well on his way to winning his party’s August nomination for governor.

NNNBC News2 months ago

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.

Latest Polls

Polling results and averages based on polls published between Apr 15, 2025 and Jul 11, 2026.

Polling Average

50%40%30%20%10%0%

41%

26.3%

23.5%

21.5%

J. Pizzo

D. Jolly

D. Cava

J. Demings

G. Graham

D. Joseph

A. Nixon

F. Driskell

S. Jones

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Pizzo	Jolly	Cava	Demings	Graham	Joseph	Nixon	Driskell	Jones
Polling Average	Pizzo+14.7	41.0%	26.3%	23.5%	21.5%	9.0%	6.0%	5.0%	4.0%	3.0%
Change ResearchJul 9 - 11	Jolly+36.0	–	42.0%	–	–	–	6.0%	–	–	–
Change ResearchMay 13 - 16	Jolly+15.0	–	42.0%	–	27.0%	–	–	–	–	–
Change ResearchMay 13 - 16	Jolly+11.0	–	39.0%	–	28.0%	–	–	–	–	–
Emerson CollegeMar 29 - 31	Jolly+10.6	–	20.7%	–	10.1%	–	–	–	–	–
Targoz Market ResearchFeb 13 - 16	Jolly+8.0	–	31.0%	–	23.0%	–	–	–	–	–
Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyJan 8 - 13	Jolly+4.0	–	23.0%	–	19.0%	–	–	–	–	–
Public Policy PollingDec 2 - 3	Jolly+0.0	–	22.0%	–	22.0%	–	–	–	–	–
Targoz Market ResearchMay 5 - 7	Cava+19.0	–	10.0%	32.0%	–	13.0%	–	6.0%	7.0%	4.0%
Targoz Market ResearchApr 15 - 22	Pizzo+26.0	41.0%	7.0%	15.0%	–	5.0%	–	4.0%	1.0%	2.0%