Prediction Edge
Republican
AP

Arthur Purves

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Virginia

Live Odds — VA-11 House winner?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

2.4%chance to win

$4.2KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleLawyer

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationVirginia

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BackgroundLawyer

EducationB.A., Fairfield University

Notable personal detailsArthur Grahame Purves is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in Virginia’s 11th Congressional District. He has served for decades as president of the Fairfax County Taxpayers Alliance and has been involved with local civic and advisory committees in Fairfax County. Purves has worked professionally as a lawyer and has run for office in Virginia previously.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Arthur Purves frames inflation and high prices as consequences of out-of-control government spending and says he has spent decades studying how to cut taxes. He calls for slashing deficits without cutting a program, opposes tax hikes, and argues for reducing real estate taxes and other government-imposed costs.

Healthcare

Arthur Purves argues that federal healthcare spending is too high and says the government should reduce demand through better policies rather than cut programs. He says chronic disease should be prevented or reversed through diet and presents eating real food as an alternative to Obamacare.

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Immigration & Border

Arthur Purves says immigrants should be vetted before entering and that drug and sex traffickers and gang members should not be allowed in. His publicly posted campaign material frames the issue as border screening and exclusion of criminal entrants rather than broad legalization or asylum expansion.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Arthur Purves says human life begins at conception and deserves legal protection at every stage until natural death. He supports defunding abortion providers and allows abortion only in cases of rape, incest, to save the life of the mother, or when the baby cannot survive beyond birth.

Climate & Energy

Arthur Purves says the climate is warming but not a crisis, argues that spending to reduce carbon footprints has no impact on atmospheric CO2, and opposes carbon pricing and related regulations. He also calls for ending the war on fossil fuels and says RGGI and similar policies raise gas prices and fuel costs.

Public Safety & Guns

Arthur Purves says complex gun laws are debatable as crime-reduction tools and argues that such laws can turn law-abiding citizens into inadvertent felons. He frames gun violence primarily as a consequence of poverty and mental illness and says it should be addressed by improving schools and food rather than adding more gun restrictions.

Endorsements

1
VA-11 House winner?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$5.6K
$4.2K
$2.8K
$1.4K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$5.6K
$199.86
$5.4K
$302.07

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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