Prediction Edge
Republican
Ashton Hayward

Ashton Hayward

Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Florida

Live Odds — Florida Republican Senate nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.1%chance to win

$116.1KAUG 19, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleMayor

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age57 years old (Apr 15, 1969)

GenderMale

Show more

LocationFlorida

BackgroundReal estate developer

EducationFlorida State University (B.S.)

Notable personal detailsAshton James Hayward III is an American real estate developer and Republican politician from Pensacola, Florida. He served as the 62nd mayor of Pensacola from 2011 to 2018, the first elected under the city’s “strong mayor” system. He later became president of the Andrews Research & Education Foundation and has worked as a principal at Shumaker, Loop & Kendrick.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports lower local taxes and pro-business, pro-growth economic policies while emphasizing fiscal responsibility and limited government spending; has promoted property tax rate reductions and policies to encourage tourism, short‑term rentals, and private-sector job growth.

Climate & Energy

As mayor of Pensacola Ashton Hayward promoted local energy development that included expanding use of natural gas for municipal fleets and courting energy-sector projects at the Port of Pensacola, while supporting manufacturing tied to renewable energy (wind components) as an economic development priority. His actions emphasize energy-industry growth and market-driven transitions rather than aggressive emissions-target commitments.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 29, 2026

Ashton Hayward is in the news as part of Florida’s crowded 2026 governor’s race, with the state’s primary set for August 18 and nearly 30 qualified candidates in the field. Recent coverage around Florida politics has also focused on redistricting fights and broader midterm dynamics, which could shape the environment for candidates like him. The reporting does not give many specific new details about Hayward himself beyond his candidacy.

en.wikipedia.org+49

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Targoz Market Research
5%4%3%2%1%0%
Ashton Hayward
A. Hayward
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Targoz Market ResearchMay 7, 2025
1.0%
Targoz Market ResearchMay 7, 2025
1.0%
Targoz Market ResearchApr 22, 2025
1.0%
Targoz Market ResearchApr 22, 2025
1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

1
Florida Republican Senate nominee?

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