$109.6K
AUG 19, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 5, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| Ashley MoodyRepublican | 98% | $10.80M |
| Ron DeSantisRepublican | 3% | — |
| Lara TrumpRepublican | 1% | — |
| James UthmeierRepublican | 0% | — |
| Ashton HaywardRepublican | 0% | — |
| Jay CollinsRepublican | 0% | — |
| Casey DeSantisRepublican | 0% | — |
| Cory MillsRepublican | 0% | $805.3K |
| Jeanette NuñezRepublican | 0% | — |
| José R. OlivaRepublican | 0% | — |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The latest Florida-related item confirms the 2026 general election date and that the U.S. Senate seat will be on the ballot. The other recent Florida stories in the feed are about the governor’s race and a House special election, not this Senate nomination. No clear new information on the Florida Republican Senate nomination. The market likely stays driven by existing expectations until candidate-specific news or primary results emerge.
House GOP divisions erupt on the midterm campaign trail as Reps. Cory Mills, Chuck Edwards and Max Miller face misconduct allegations that threaten Republican control of Congress.
There are three ways to vote in Florida and the deadline for a request to vote by mail is Aug. 6.
Four prominent Republicans are vying for the party's nomination for governor. But only one, Byron Donalds, has President Trump's endorsement.
The 2026 Florida primary is coming up. Learn about early voting dates and how to request your mail-in ballot.
“Perhaps there has never been a group of people treated so badly in our Nation’s history,” Trump said of those eligible for his controversial fund.
Notable endorsements from elected officials, organizations and public figures.
Florida Chamber of Commerce
Florida Chamber of Commerce threw support behind Ashley Moody in the U.S. Senate race.
Florida Police Chiefs Association
Florida Police Chiefs Association endorsed Ashley Moody for U.S. Senate.
Florida Professional Firefighters
Florida Professional Firefighters endorsed Ashley Moody for U.S. Senate.
Florida Home Builders Association
Florida Home Builders Association endorsed Ashley Moody for the general election.
Jacksonville Sheriff T.K. Waters
Jacksonville Sheriff T.K. Waters endorsed Ashley Moody for reelection.
Florida Police Benevolent Association
Florida Police Benevolent Association officially endorsed Ashley Moody for U.S. Senate.
Associated Industries of Florida
Associated Industries of Florida endorsed Ashley Moody for U.S. Senate.
National Association of REALTORS® Political Action Committee
National Association of REALTORS® Political Action Committee supported Ashley Moody's campaign.
Associated Builders and Contractors of Florida
Associated Builders and Contractors of Florida endorsed Ashley Moody for re-election.
Donald Trump
Donald Trump endorsed James Uthmeier for Florida attorney general in the 2026 election cycle.
Florida Sheriffs Association
The Florida Sheriffs Association endorsed James Uthmeier for a full term.
Incoming legislative leaders
Incoming legislative leaders endorsed James Uthmeier along with other Republican Cabinet members.
Gun Owners of America & Fuerza 2A
Gun Owners of America and Fuerza 2A endorsed James Uthmeier for Florida attorney general.
America First Insight
America First Insight endorsed James Uthmeier for Florida attorney general.
Florida Police Benevolent Association
The Florida Police Benevolent Association endorsed James Uthmeier for Florida attorney general.
Republican Party of Florida
The Republican Party of Florida backed James Uthmeier for attorney general.
Florida Sheriffs
Fifty-one Florida sheriffs backed James Uthmeier for Florida attorney general.
Republican Attorneys General Association (RAGA)
RAGA endorsed James Uthmeier in his 2026 campaign for Florida attorney general.
Florida Police Benevolent Association
The Florida Police Benevolent Association endorsed Jay Collins for governor.
Levy County Sheriff Bobby McCallum
Levy County Sheriff Bobby McCallum endorsed Jay Collins for governor.
Bob Johnson
Santa Rosa County Sheriff Bob Johnson endorsed Jay Collins for Florida governor.
Bobby McCallum
Baker County Sheriff Bobby McCallum endorsed Jay Collins for Florida governor.
Volusia County Deputies Association
The Volusia County Deputies Association endorsed Jay Collins for governor.
Christopher Blackmon
Osceola County Sheriff Christopher Blackmon endorsed Jay Collins for Florida governor.
National Police Association
The National Police Association endorsed Cory Mills and his HALT Act.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
A. MoodyAshley Moody
C. MillsCory MillsSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
