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AUG 19, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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source: Kalshi
The latest Florida Senate polling cited shows Republican Sen. Ashley Moody up 3 points on Democrat Alexander Vindman, a closer margin than some recent surveys. Separately, Gov. Ron DeSantis is advancing a new congressional map expected to face legal challenges, while also using the fight to boost his national profile. The only Florida Senate-specific datapoint is a poll showing Moody ahead, which may modestly support expectations of GOP strength. Redistricting/legal uncertainty could add some noise but doesn’t directly change the GOP Senate nomination picture in the summaries.
The Republicans who control Florida’s legislature on Tuesday will take up a new map proposed by Gov. Ron DeSantis to give GOP an edge in four seats now held by Democrats – in what is likely the final maneuver in the coast-to-coast redistricting battle that has raged for months between the political parties.
The Supreme Court on Wednesday struck down Louisiana’s second majority Black congressional district in a decision that could open the door for Republican-led states to eliminate Black and Latino electoral districts that tend to favor Democrats and affect the balance of power in Congress.
The decision could open the door for Republican-led states to eliminate Black and Latino electoral districts that tend to favor Democrats.
The Supreme Court on Wednesday weakened a landmark Civil Rights-era law that has increased minority representation in Congress and elsewhere, striking down a majority Black congressional district in Louisiana and opening the door for more redistricting across the country that could aid Republican efforts to control the House.
The Supreme Court decision could open the door for Republican-led states to eliminate Black and Latino electoral districts that tend to favor Democrats.
Two Democrats vying to oust Collins led the five-term Republican in hypothetical November matchups, a recent poll found.
A. MoodyAshley Moody
C. MillsCory MillsSource: FEC
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