Prediction Edge

Overview

Current roleInvestigative reporter

GenderMale

LocationNebraska

BackgroundInvestigative reporter

EducationMacalester College (attended)

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Notable personal detailsAustin Ahlman is an independent candidate for U.S. House in Nebraska’s 1st Congressional District and a Norfolk-born investigative reporter. He has worked as an investigative reporter for The American Prospect and The Intercept and has also worked with the Open Markets Institute. He attended Macalester College in Minnesota and later moved back to Norfolk in 2025.

SourcesShow

Latest Insights

NE-01 House winner?

14d

A fresh endorsement from Democratic Senate nominee Cindy Burbank adds another public boost for Austin Ahlman in Nebraska’s 1st District, keeping attention on a thin market where small shifts can still matter.

13%

NE-01 House winner?

14d

A fresh district-specific endorsement from Nebraska Democratic Senate nominee Denise Burbank gives Austin Ahlman another public boost in NE-01, adding a new catalyst for a thin, low-liquidity race that traders are already watching for volatility.

13%

NE-01 House winner?

14d

Austin Ahlman’s independent NE-01 bid just got another public boost, adding to the recent burst of coverage around his entry and keeping attention on a low-liquidity race where small shifts can still matter.

13%

Polls

NE-01 House winner?
Polling Average
30%20%10%0%
27%
Austin Ahlman
A. Ahlman
Date (Start - End)SpreadAhlman
Polling Average
27.0%
Tavern ResearchMay 16 - 19
36.0%
Tavern ResearchMay 16 - 19
9.0%
Zenith ResearchMay 8 - 11
36.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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