Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
27%
42%
33%
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
NE-01 House winner?
No verified final result is available for the selected contract.
Settlement pending
$195.8K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Saved odds — NE-01 House winner?
Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
1%chance to win
$195.8KNOV 7, 2026Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleInvestigative reporter
GenderMale
LocationNebraska
BackgroundInvestigative reporter
Notable personal detailsAustin Ahlman is a Norfolk-born investigative reporter and independent candidate for U.S. Congress in Nebraska’s 1st Congressional District in 2026. He has described his work as focused on exposing corruption and corporate power, and his campaign emphasizes anti-monopoly and populist themes. He is married to a man.
SourcesShowHide
ahlmanfornebraska.comnortheast.newschannelnebraska.comlinkedin.comdeveloper.ballotpedia.orgfec.govballotclarity.orgapi.open.fec.govefoservices.fec.govaustinisd.orgnebraskaexaminer.comwebforms.fec.govdata.ballotpedia.orgvoterguide.ballotpedia.orgpostman.comcdn.ballotpedia.orgen.wikipedia.orgservices.austintexas.govnews.legislature.ne.govnebraskapublicmedia.orgfacebook.comprospect.orgklin.comomaha.comcommondreams.orgx.cominstagram.comtiktok.comhouse.govnews.ballotpedia.orgdocquery.fec.govjustfacts.votesmart.orgvotesmart.orgstatic.votesmart.orggovinfo.gov
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026
Austin Ahlman has withdrawn from the race for Nebraska's 1st Congressional District, which is the main recent development involving him. Before dropping out, he had been planning a town hall in Norfolk as part of his campaign. The available reports do not give any further details about why he exited the race or what he plans to do next.
ahlmanfornebraska.com+33
Articles
LJLincoln Journal Star4 months ago
Independent Austin Ahlman drops out of Nebraska CD1 race
Negative
LJLincoln Journal Star5 months ago
Independent Nebraska CD1 candidate to hold Norfolk town hall
Neutral
CNCable News Network3 months ago
Midwest red states are back in play for Democrats
Neutral
SCSioux City Journal6 months ago
Woodbury County Auditor & Recorder - Ad from 2026-05-16
Neutral
Latest Polls
NE-01 House winner?
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Austin Ahlman currently averages 27.0%, ranking third in this race, 6.0 points behind the next candidate.
Polling average: 27.0%Position: thirdMargin: -6.0 ptsLatest poll: 9.0% (May 16 - 19)Polls included: 3
Average recalculated from polls through May 16 - 19.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$103.3K
$77.5K
$51.7K
$25.8K
$0
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2026
$103.3K
$29.7K
$73.6K
$3.9K
Source: FEC
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- Positions
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