$28.5K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 3, 2026, 8:28 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 84% | 43.5% | $2.37M | |
| 16% | 40.8% | $592.2K | |
| 1% | 27.0% | $103.3K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Republicans are under pressure to defend Nebraska's 1st District in 2026, with national issues and messaging problems weighing on the party. The seat is being treated as a competitive House race in a difficult environment for GOP incumbents. Recent Nebraska election coverage has mostly centered on the 2nd District, not this race. The latest coverage suggests a tougher environment for Republicans, which could modestly weaken GOP hold odds. But the reporting is broad and does not give district-specific polling or results.
Voters will decide Tuesday between state Sen. John Cavanaugh and marketing consultant Denise Powell in the Democratic primary.
By MARGERY A. BECK and STEVE PEOPLES OMAHA, Neb. (AP) — The fate of Nebraska’s “blue dot” — a small, but significant factor in presidential politics — will take center stage Tuesday as Democratic voters select a congressional nominee in the state’s high-profile 2nd District. The Omaha-area district, where Republican U.S. Rep. Don Bacon is […]
President Donald Trump tried to reduce sky-high beef prices by relaxing tariffs on foreign meat. But this outraged ranchers, deepening a farmer backlash to the GOP in Kansas and Iowa.
WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance will both hit the campaign trail on Thursday, but they will be heading to heavily Repu
Republicans have expressed growing pessimism about their chances in the election, as the president has repeatedly dismissed concerns about gas prices while his unpopular war in Iran drags on.
Where the 2026 midterms stand right now, according to POLITICO’s reporters.
The heartland Democrat is making a comeback.
Amy Davidson Sorkin on Josh Turek, Zach Wahls, Sherrod Brown, and James Talarico—and how something has changed lately in the dynamics of the Democrats’ fight to reclaim the Senate, or, at least, in the Party’s mood.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between May 8, 2026 and Sep 3, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
M. FloodMike FloodC. BackemeyerChris BackemeyerA. AhlmanAustin AhlmanSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
