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NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Ahlman’s new independent bid in Nebraska’s 1st District has pushed his contract from 6% to 9% in the past day. It’s still a longshot, but the move is trader-relevant because fresh candidate entry in a safe GOP seat can reshape low-liquidity pricing quickly.
Ahlman’s May 15 launch adds a new candidate and is drawing broad coverage, which could matter in a low-liquidity market if he siphons attention or support from the existing field.
Brinker Harding has secured the Republican nomination in Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District. Democrats are still sorting out their nominee in the competitive Omaha-area seat. The race remains a key general-election battleground after Don Bacon said he will not run again. The Republican side looks settled with Harding nominated, while the Democratic primary still adds some uncertainty. The overall race remains competitive, with little clear shift in the party-of-winner market yet.
Amy Davidson Sorkin on Josh Turek, Zach Wahls, Sherrod Brown, and James Talarico—and how something has changed lately in the dynamics of the Democrats’ fight to reclaim the Senate, or, at least, in the Party’s mood.
Voters will decide Tuesday between state Sen. John Cavanaugh and marketing consultant Denise Powell in the Democratic primary.
By MARGERY A. BECK and STEVE PEOPLES OMAHA, Neb. (AP) — The fate of Nebraska’s “blue dot” — a small, but significant factor in presidential politics — will take center stage Tuesday as Democratic voters select a congressional nominee in the state’s high-profile 2nd District. The Omaha-area district, where Republican U.S. Rep. Don Bacon is […]
Woodbury County Auditor & Recorder: NOTICE OF THE GENERAL PRIMARY ELECTION IN WOODBURY COUNTY JUNE 2, 2026 PUBLIC NOT...
In solidly red Nebraska lies a “blue dot” around Omaha where Democrats Joe Biden and Kamala Harris captured the majority of the vote in the last two presidential elections, but the incumbent Republican House representative kept his seat.Now that Rep. Don Bacon (R-NE) announced his plans to not seek ...
The fate of Nebraska’s “blue dot” will take center stage Tuesday as Democratic voters select a congressional nominee in the state’s high-profile 2nd District.
The fate of Nebraska’s “blue dot” will play prominently as Democratic voters select a congressional nominee in the state’s 2nd District. The Omaha-area district, where Republican U.S. Rep. Don...
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
