$18.3K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 18, 2026, 7:53 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86% | 43.2% | $2.37M | |
| 14% | 38.0% | $592.2K | |
| 2% | 27.0% | $103.3K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Independent Austin Ahlman has dropped out of the Nebraska 1st District race. The provided updates do not show any shift in the remaining field or the likely party outcome. Recent Nebraska House news has mostly centered on the more competitive 2nd District. Ahlman’s exit appears to have little direct effect on the party-of-winner market based on the provided summaries. The latest news leaves the race’s partisan outlook unchanged and does not add new uncertainty.
The heartland Democrat is making a comeback.
Voters will decide Tuesday between state Sen. John Cavanaugh and marketing consultant Denise Powell in the Democratic primary.
By MARGERY A. BECK and STEVE PEOPLES OMAHA, Neb. (AP) — The fate of Nebraska’s “blue dot” — a small, but significant factor in presidential politics — will take center stage Tuesday as Democratic voters select a congressional nominee in the state’s high-profile 2nd District. The Omaha-area district, where Republican U.S. Rep. Don Bacon is […]
Amy Davidson Sorkin on Josh Turek, Zach Wahls, Sherrod Brown, and James Talarico—and how something has changed lately in the dynamics of the Democrats’ fight to reclaim the Senate, or, at least, in the Party’s mood.
In solidly red Nebraska lies a “blue dot” around Omaha where Democrats Joe Biden and Kamala Harris captured the majority of the vote in the last two presidential elections, but the incumbent Republican House representative kept his seat.Now that Rep. Don Bacon (R-NE) announced his plans to not seek ...
Republican infighting escalates as lawmakers challenge President Donald Trump, signaling a growing divide over strategy and leadership.
Woodbury County Auditor & Recorder: NOTICE OF THE GENERAL PRIMARY ELECTION IN WOODBURY COUNTY JUNE 2, 2026 PUBLIC NOT...
The fate of Nebraska’s “blue dot” will take center stage Tuesday as Democratic voters select a congressional nominee in the state’s high-profile 2nd District.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between May 8, 2026 and May 19, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
M. FloodMike FloodC. BackemeyerChris BackemeyerA. AhlmanAustin AhlmanSource: FEC
