Prediction Edge

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Austin Ahlman is trading at 2% to win the NE-01 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleInvestigative reporter

GenderMale

LocationNebraska

BackgroundInvestigative reporter

Notable personal detailsAustin Ahlman is a Norfolk-born investigative reporter and independent candidate for U.S. Congress in Nebraska’s 1st Congressional District in 2026. He has described his work as focused on exposing corruption and corporate power, and his campaign emphasizes anti-monopoly and populist themes. He is married to a man.

SourcesShow

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 19, 2026

Austin Ahlman has withdrawn from the race for Nebraska's 1st Congressional District. The move ends his bid as an independent candidate. No further changes to the race were reported in the summary.

ahlmanfornebraska.com+37

Latest Polls

NE-01 House winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Austin Ahlman currently averages 27.0%, ranking third in this race, 6.0 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 27.0%Position: thirdMargin: -6.0 ptsLatest poll: 9.0% (May 16 - 19)Polls included: 3

Average recalculated from polls through May 16 - 19.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
27%
42%
33%
Austin Ahlman
A. Ahlman
Mike Flood
M. Flood
Chris Backemeyer
C. Backemeyer
Date (Start - End)SpreadAhlmanFloodBackemeyer
Polling Average
Flood+15.0
27.0%42.0%33.0%
Tavern ResearchMay 16 - 19
Flood+32.0
9.0%41.0%33.0%
Tavern ResearchMay 16 - 19
Flood+5.0
36.0%41.0%
Zenith ResearchMay 8 - 11
Flood+8.0
36.0%44.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

NE-01 House winner?

Endorsers of Austin Ahlman for NE-01 House winner?

Cindy Burbank

Public figure

Cindy Burbank endorsed independent Austin Ahlman in Nebraska's 1st Congressional District race.

Learn more

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$103.3K
$77.5K
$51.7K
$25.8K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$103.3K
$29.7K
$73.6K
$3.9K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Positions