Prediction Edge
Republican
Toby Doeden

Overview

Current roleBusinessman

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationSouth Dakota

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BackgroundBusinessman

Notable personal detailsToby Doeden is an Aberdeen, South Dakota businessman and Republican candidate for Governor of South Dakota (2026). He is associated with Aberdeen Chrysler Center, where he became general manager in 2011 after working his way up from sales roles beginning in 1997. His campaign describes him as a political outsider and a business owner who built multiple businesses in South Dakota.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Advocates eliminating property taxes statewide, reducing the size of state government and spending, and preserving/codifying South Dakota sales-tax measures while proposing alternative consumption-based revenue sources to replace property tax revenue.

Immigration & Border

Supports aggressive enforcement measures against undocumented immigrants, including accelerating arrests and deportations; emphasizes combating illegal immigration and border security.

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Climate & Energy

The candidate emphasizes free‑market energy and economic policy, opposes large state subsidies or corporate welfare for energy projects, and has supported political efforts skeptical of major carbon‑capture pipeline projects. Policy statements focus on limiting government incentives and promoting a business climate without special favors rather than endorsing aggressive emissions regulations or expansive clean‑energy mandates.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate expresses strong support for the Second Amendment and says he will stand up for the right to bear arms. He emphasizes prioritizing public safety by supporting law enforcement and upholding law and order, without proposing new gun-restrictive measures on his issues pages.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 1, 2026

Toby Doeden is in the news as one of the four Republicans running for South Dakota governor ahead of the June 2 primary. Recent polling has him trailing Dusty Johnson, with Doeden clustered near the middle of the field and a runoff possible if no candidate reaches 35%. He also took part in recent debates and policy forums, where the candidates outlined their positions on education and other campaign issues.

tobydoeden.com+46

Polls

South Dakota Republican Governor nominee?
Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
16.9%
27.6%
22.5%
12.9%
Toby Doeden
T. Doeden
Dusty Johnson
D. Johnson
Larry Rhoden
L. Rhoden
J. Hansen
Date (Start - End)SpreadDoedenJohnsonRhodenHansen
Polling Average
Johnson+10.7
16.9%27.6%22.5%12.9%
Meeting Street InsightsMay 18 - 20
Rhoden+1.0
22.0%19.0%23.0%21.0%
Emerson CollegeMay 18 - 19
Doeden+3.0
26.3%23.3%19.0%16.0%
Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyApr 7 - 11
Johnson+16.6
17.4%34.0%17.0%17.8%
Emerson CollegeMar 7 - 9
Johnson+10.5
17.6%28.1%16.6%13.6%
Public Opinion StrategiesMar 2 - 5
Johnson+17.0
16.0%33.0%28.0%10.0%
Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyOct 16 - 20
Johnson+13.0
15.0%28.0%27.0%10.0%
Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyApr 9 - 11
Johnson+24.0
4.0%28.0%27.0%2.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising