Prediction Edge
Democrat
Bale Dalton

Bale Dalton

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Florida

Live Odds — FL-07 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

93%chance to win

$9.5KAUG 25, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Navy officer (Naval aviator)

PartyDemocratic

LocationFlorida

BackgroundU.S. Navy officer (Naval aviator)

Notable personal detailsBale Dalton is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Florida’s 7th Congressional District (2026). He is a U.S. Navy veteran and U.S. Navy Reserve member, and has described his service as including Naval aviation missions in Iraq and against ISIS, al-Qaeda, and the Taliban. He has also described himself as a former NASA Chief of Staff.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Healthcare

Supports building on the Affordable Care Act to lower premiums, deductibles, and surprise medical bills; restore funding to Medicaid and protect Medicare and Social Security; and enable negotiating prescription drug prices. Does not endorse single-payer or Medicare for All on the cited priorities page.

Immigration & Border

The candidate supports stronger border security and a robust national security and border-security infrastructure prioritizing American interests. His campaign materials emphasize national and border security as part of his priorities but do not propose an expansive pro-immigration regularization or asylum-expansion platform.

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Climate & Energy

Supports protecting Florida’s environment while endorsing an “all-of-the-above” energy policy that includes natural gas and expanded solar; emphasizes energy independence, preventing offshore drilling near Florida, and lowering consumer energy costs. Prioritizes competition in energy markets and reducing reliance on foreign sources of energy and solar manufacturing supply chains.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 18, 2026

Bale Dalton is being mentioned in coverage of the 2026 House race fundraising picture. The report says Democrats are outraising Republican incumbents in many competitive districts, which is shaping expectations for the race. It also points to polling, Trump’s approval rating, and possible redistricting changes as factors affecting the contest.

fec.gov+45

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Public Policy Polling
50%40%30%20%10%0%
41%
Bale Dalton
B. Dalton
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Public Policy PollingMay 21, 2026
41.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.4M
$1.0M
$689.1K
$344.5K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$1.4M
$475.9K
$902.3K
$47.5K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements