$89.3K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 24, 2026, 10:28 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 73% | $356.0K | |
| 28% | $1.38M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Cory Mills lost the Republican primary in Florida's 7th District to Ryan Elijah. Trump later backed Elijah, and GOP Rep. Mike Haridopolos said he helped recruit a challenger because he thought Mills could weaken the party's chances. The main effect is a change in the Republican nominee, not the party holding the seat. The GOP primary result removes an incumbent and could add some uncertainty, but the seat still appears to remain in Republican hands. The news is mildly positive for the GOP nominee's chances if the party unifies.
The preemptive move intends to stop certification if Sen. Dan Sullivan loses. Another candidate with the same name as the GOP incumbent is on the ballot.
The Trump administration has filed a lawsuit to block certification of the U.S. Senate race in Alaska if Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan loses.
Democrats could have a strong November while Republicans still survive in unexpected places.
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Florida Gulf Coast University has finalized plans for Trump's rally Oct. 23 at Alico Arena, with parking closures and modified operations.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Oct 17, 2026 and Oct 19, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
B. DaltonBale DaltonR. ElijahRyan ElijahSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
