Prediction Edge

Overview

Current rolePolitical candidate

PartyDemocratic

GenderMale

LocationFlorida

BackgroundPolitical candidate

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EducationUnited States Naval Academy — B.S., Ocean Engineering

Notable personal detailsBale Dalton is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Florida’s 7th Congressional District (2026 cycle). He served at NASA as deputy chief of staff (May 2021–December 2023) and chief of staff (January 2024–January 2025). Dalton is a U.S. Navy Reserve naval aviator who has held command roles, and his education includes the U.S. Naval Academy (B.S. in ocean engineering), Harvard Kennedy School (M.P.P.), and the Wharton School (M.B.A.).

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Healthcare

Supports building on the Affordable Care Act to lower premiums, deductibles, and surprise medical bills; restore funding to Medicaid and protect Medicare and Social Security; and enable negotiating prescription drug prices. Does not endorse single-payer or Medicare for All on the cited priorities page.

Immigration & Border

The candidate supports stronger border security and a robust national security and border-security infrastructure prioritizing American interests. His campaign materials emphasize national and border security as part of his priorities but do not propose an expansive pro-immigration regularization or asylum-expansion platform.

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Climate & Energy

Supports protecting Florida’s environment while endorsing an “all-of-the-above” energy policy that includes natural gas and expanded solar; emphasizes energy independence, preventing offshore drilling near Florida, and lowering consumer energy costs. Prioritizes competition in energy markets and reducing reliance on foreign sources of energy and solar manufacturing supply chains.

Latest Insights

FL-07 Democratic nominee?

8d

That tops the previous high of 57% for Bale Dalton in "FL-07 Democratic nominee?"

74%17%

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$692.2K
$519.2K
$346.1K
$173.1K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$692.2K
$464.4K
$227.8K
$15.2K

Source: FEC

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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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