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Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
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Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Florida
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
36%chance to win
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Navy officer (Naval aviator)
PartyDemocratic
LocationFlorida
BackgroundU.S. Navy officer (Naval aviator)
Notable personal detailsBale Dalton is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Florida’s 7th Congressional District (2026). He is a U.S. Navy veteran and U.S. Navy Reserve member, and has described his service as including Naval aviation missions in Iraq and against ISIS, al-Qaeda, and the Taliban. He has also described himself as a former NASA Chief of Staff.
Supports building on the Affordable Care Act to lower premiums, deductibles, and surprise medical bills; restore funding to Medicaid and protect Medicare and Social Security; and enable negotiating prescription drug prices. Does not endorse single-payer or Medicare for All on the cited priorities page.
The candidate supports stronger border security and a robust national security and border-security infrastructure prioritizing American interests. His campaign materials emphasize national and border security as part of his priorities but do not propose an expansive pro-immigration regularization or asylum-expansion platform.
Supports protecting Florida’s environment while endorsing an “all-of-the-above” energy policy that includes natural gas and expanded solar; emphasizes energy independence, preventing offshore drilling near Florida, and lowering consumer energy costs. Prioritizes competition in energy markets and reducing reliance on foreign sources of energy and solar manufacturing supply chains.
Bale Dalton is being mentioned in coverage of the 2026 House race fundraising picture. The report says Democrats are outraising Republican incumbents in many competitive districts, which is shaping expectations for the race. It also points to polling, Trump’s approval rating, and possible redistricting changes as factors affecting the contest.
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.


Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
2026
LatestCycle 2026
Source: FEC
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